The John Batchelor Show

Podcasts

Friday 31 December 2010

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Friday 905P Eastern Time:  David Weidner, WSJ, Marketwatch.com, re Bush tax cuts win-win-win.
Friday 920P Eastern Time:  James Taranto, WSJ, re national security.
Friday 935P Eastern Time: Elizabeth Rosenthal, NYT, re fossil fuels and biomass.
Friday 950P Eastern Time:  Catherine Rampell, NYT, re Broadway "Spiderman" costs.
 
Friday 1005P (705P Pacific Time): Andrew Martin, NYT, Bank of America and foreclosures.
Friday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): Mark Oppenheimer, NYT, re evangelicalism, creationism and astronomy.
Friday 1035P (735P Pacific Time): Lawrence Solomon, Foreign Policy, Ontario renewable energy.
Friday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): Matt Kaminski, WSJ, re Petraeus in Afghanistan.
 
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Friday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): Michael Barbaro, NYT, re Bloomberg for president?
Friday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  Peter Bogudski, Princeton University, 5000 year old door.
 
Friday/Sat  1235A (935P Pacific Time): Jane Addams: Spirit in Action by Louise W. Knight.
Friday/Sat  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.
 

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Thursday 30 December 2010

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Best of John Batchelor Show

Thursday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time): William McGurn, WSJ, re ROTC in the Ivy Leagues.

Thursday 920P Eastern Time (620P Pacific Time): Bret Stephens, WSJ, re China and freedoms.

Thursday 935P Eastern Time (635P Pacific Time): Alan Cowell, NYT, re Wikileaks.

Thursday 950P Eastern Time (650P Pacific Time): Ben Casselman, WSJ, re decaying energy infrastructure in the Gulf of Mexico.

 

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Thursday 1005P Eastern  (705P Pacific Time): Emily Glaser, NYT, the middle-aged unemployed in the Great Recession.

Thursday 1020P Eastern (720P Pacific Time): Tom Lauricella, WSJ, re State of the Union.

Thursday 1035P Eastern  (735P Pacific Time): Justice Brennan: Liberal Champion by Seth Stern and Stephen Wermiel. 

Thursday 1050P Eastern (750P Pacific Time): Justice Brennan: Liberal Champion by Seth Stern and Stephen Wermiel.

 

Thursday 1105P  Eastern (805P Pacific Time): Bjorn Lomborg, author, "Cool It," writing in WSJ, re global warming.

Thursday 1120P Eastern (820P Pacific Time): Mary Anastasia O'Grady. WSJ, re Honduras and WikiLeaks.

Thursday 1135P Eastern  (835P Pacific Time): Charles Pellegrino, author, "Last Train from Hiroshima."

Thursday 1150P Eastern  (850P Pacific Time): Nicholas Wade, NYT, re the Black Death identified.

 

Thursday/Friday 1205A  Eastern (905 Pacific Time):  Proofiness: The Dark Arts of Mathematical Deception by Charles Seife.

Thursday/Friday  1220A Eastern (920 Pacific Time):  Proofiness: The Dark Arts of Mathematical Deception by Charles Seife.

Thursday/Friday  1235A  Eastern (935P Pacific Time): Melanie Stassny, NYT, Natural History Museum, re Congo River fishlife.

Thursday/Friday  1250A  Eastern (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.

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Wednesday 29 December 2010

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Best of John Batchelor Show.

Wednesday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time): John Bolton, AEI, re Wikileaks.

Wednesday 920P Eastern Time (620P Pacific Time): Peter Lattman, NYT, re Bernie Madoff.

Wednesday 935P Eastern Time (635P Pacific Time): Brian Stelter, NYT, re cable TV.

Wednesday 950P Eastern Time (650P Pacific Time): The Rage of Achilles by Terence Hawkins.

 

Wednesday 1005P Eastern  (705P Pacific Time): Tunku Varadarajan, Daily Beast, re Sarah Palin.

Wednesday 1020P Eastern (720P Pacific Time): Bret Stephens, WSJ, re North Korea.

Wednesday 1035P Eastern  (735P Pacific Time): Fouad Ajami, Hoover, re Wikileaks.

Wednesday 1050P Eastern (750P Pacific Time): Mary O'Grady, WSJ, re Argentina money-laundering.

 

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Wednesday 1105P  Eastern (805P Pacific Time): Sam Roberts, NYT, re NY accents.

Wednesday 1120P Eastern (820P Pacific Time): William McGurn, WSJ, re class warfare and the Obama administration.

Wednesday 1135P Eastern  (835P Pacific Time): The Victims Return: Survivors of the Gulag After Stalin by Stephen F. Cohen.

Wednesday 1150P Eastern  (850P Pacific Time): continued.

 

Wednesday/Thurs 1205A  Eastern (905 Pacific Time): The Victims Return: Survivors of the Gulag After Stalin by Stephen F. Cohen.

Wednesday/Thurs  1220A Eastern (920 Pacific Time): continued.

Wednesday/Thurs  1235A  Eastern (935P Pacific Time): The Myth of the Great Satan: A New Look at America's Relations with Iran (HOOVER INSTITUTION PRESS PUBLICATION) by Abbas Milani.

Wednesday/Thurs  1250A  Eastern (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.


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Tuesday 28 December 2010

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Best of John Batchelor Show


Tuesday 905P Eastern Time: Kate Zernike, NYT, re Ron Paul.

Tuesday 920P Eastern Time: Michael Moore, Bloomberg, re banker too-big-to-fail bonuses 2007-2009.

Tuesday 935P Eastern Time: Marita Noon, Citizen's Alliance for Responsible Energy, re green energy.

Tuesday 950P Eastern Time: Ramit Sethi, NYT, how to save money when young and carefree.


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Tuesday1005P Eastern Time: Matt Bai, NYT, re social legislation, Obamacare and US. history.

Tuesday 1020P Eastern Time: Sam Roberts, NYT, re the Great Recession and how New Yorkers live in change.

Tuesday 1035P Eastern Time: John Nichols, The Nation, re Paul Ryan of "The Young Guns."

Tuesday 1050P Eastern Time: Jessica Greenburg, NYT, re debt.

 

Tuesday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):: James Taranto, WSJ, Obamacare and the Commerce Clause.

Tuesday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): Homer Hickam, author, WSJ, NASA needs a moon colony.

Tuesday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): Fouad Ajami, WSJ, re Richard Holbrooke remembered.

Tuesday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): Wendell Jameson, NYT, re Park Slope, Brooklyn 1960 airplane crash.

 

Tuesday/Wed 1205P (905P Pacific Time): Dan Henninger, WSJ, what are taxes for?

Tuesday/Wed 1220P (920P Pacific Time): Amy Hoak, Marketwatch.com, tricks to selling a house (chocolate-covered strawberries).

Tuesday/Wed 1235P (935P Pacific Time): Poisoning the Press: Richard Nixon, Jack Anderson, and the Rise of Washington's Scandal Culture by Mark Feldstein (Sep 28, 2010).

Tuesday/Wed 1250P (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.


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Monday 27 December 2010

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Monday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time): Erik Wasson, The Hill, re deficit.
  

Monday 920P Eastern Time (620P Pacific Time):  Melanie Kirkpatrick, WSJ and Hudson, re North Korea.  

Monday 935P Eastern Time (635P Pacific Time):  Salena Zito, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, re Senator Bob Casey.  

Monday 950P Eastern Time (650P Pacific Time):  Adam Nagourney, NYT, re LA homelessness, with co-host John Avlon, CNN.    

 

Monday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Shane D'Aprile, The Hill, re Senator Jim Webb vulnerable.  

Monday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  Jon Weil, Bloomberg, re insider trading.  

Monday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Ben Zimmer, NYT, in re: word of the year

Monday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):  Louise Story, NYT, re derivatives and the banks.  immelt.jpg


Monday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):  Therese Poletti, Marketwatch.com, re Apple and HP.  

Monday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  Benedict Carey, NYT, re game playing in history.  

Monday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):  Steve Lore, NYT, re GE comeback.  

Monday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  Caroline Van Hassel, WSJ/Dow Jones, re Canadian politics lacks a big man.  

 

Monday/Tues 1205A (905 Pacific Time):  Michael Slackman, NYT, re rendition.  

Monday/Tues  1220A (920 Pacific Time):  Charlie Pellegrino, author, re arsenic in Lake Mono.  

Monday/Tues  1235A (935P Pacific Time):  John Robbins, author, The Food Revolution.  

Monday/Tues  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt. 

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Saturday 25 Christmas Day and Sunday 26 December 2010

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Best of JBS, Merry Christmas 2010.

Saturday 905P Eastern Time: Climatopolis - Kindle Edition - Kindle eBook (Sept. 7, 2010) by Matthew E. Kahn.   

Saturday 920P Eastern Time: continued.        

Saturday 935P Eastern Time:  The Gun - Kindle Edition - Kindle eBook (Oct. 12, 2010) by C. J. Chivers.

Saturday 950P Eastern Time:  continued.         

Saturday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  The Murder Room: The Heirs of Sherlock Holmes Gather to Solve the World's Most Perplexing Cold Cases - Hardcover (Aug. 10, 2010) by Michael Capuzzo

Saturday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): continued.        ferdinand-pecora.jpg


Saturday 1035P (735P Pacific Time): 
The Hellhound of Wall Street: How Ferdinand Pecora's Investigation of the Great Crash Forever Changed AmericanFinance - Kindle Edition - Kindle eBook (Oct. 14, 2010) by Michael Perino

Saturday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):  continued.       

Saturday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):  Shakedown: The Continuing Conspiracy Against the American Taxpayer - Hardcover (Oct. 1, 2010) by Steven Malanga

Saturday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  continued.      

Saturday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):   Bloodlands: Europe Between Hitler and Stalin - Hardcover (Oct. 12, 2010) by Timothy Snyder

Saturday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  continued       

Saturday/Sun 1205A (905 Pacific Time):  Bloodlands: Europe Between Hitler and Stalin - Hardcover (Oct. 12, 2010) by Timothy Snyder

Saturday/Sun 1220A: (920 Pacific Time): continued      

Saturday/Sun 1235A: (935P Pacific Time):  The Three Circles of War: Understanding the Dynamics of Conflict in Iraq - Hardcover (July 31, 2010) by Heather S. Gregg, Hy S. Rothstein, and John Arquilla   

Saturday/Sun 1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.

 



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Sunday 26 December 2010


 

Sunday Best of John Batchelor Show.

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Sunday  905P Eastern Time:
Timothy Egan, NYT, re the Obama presidency needs a theme.

Sunday 920P Eastern Time: Dennis Berman, WSJ, re J. Crew restores itself.

Sunday 935P Eastern Time: Terry Easton, author, re Tea Party success.

Sunday 950P Eastern Time: Terry Pristine, NYT, re Los Angeles property development near LAX.

 

Sunday 1005P (705P Pacific Time): Gretchen Morgenson, NYT, re Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Sunday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): Brian Stelter, NYT, re CNN's "Parker and Spitzer."

Sunday 1035P (735P Pacific Time): David Henderson, WSJ, re Bush tax cut deal.

Sunday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): John Loftus, author, America's Nazi Secrets.

 

Sunday 1105P (805P Pacific Time): Alex Kellogg, WSJ, re Detroit schools disrepair.

Sunday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): Dan Henninger, WSJ, re growth is what America is for.

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Sunday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): 
A Complicated Man: The Life of Bill Clinton as Told by Those Who Know Him - Hardcover (Oct. 19, 2010) by Michael Takiff.

Sunday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): continued

Sunday/Mon 1205A (905 Pacific Time): A Complicated Man: The Life of Bill Clinton as Told by Those Who Know Him - Hardcover (Oct. 19, 2010) by Michael Takiff

Sunday/Mon 1220A: (920 Pacific Time): continued.

Sunday/Mon 1235A: (935P Pacific Time): Red Star over the Pacific: China's Rise and the Challenge to U.S. Maritime Strategy by Toshi Yoshihara and James R. Holmes.

Sunday/Mon 1235A: Exeunt.


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Friday 24 December 2010

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Merry Christmas, Best of JBS.

Friday 905P Eastern Time: Kate Zernike, NYT, re Dick Armey and the Tea Party..

Friday 920P Eastern Time:  Deborah Sontag, NYT, re homeless in Haiti.

Friday 935P Eastern Time: Alex Kellogg, WSJ, re Detroit housing crisis and tear-downs.

Friday 950P Eastern Time:  Susanne Craig, NYT, re Ruth Porat of Morgan Stanley .

 

Screen shot 2010-12-24 at 8.39.51 PM.pngFriday 1005P (705P Pacific Time): Emily Heil, Roll Call, young Congressional staffers of defeated or retired members who are now searching for new jobs.

Friday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  Edward Wyatt, NYT, re hedge fund practices.

Friday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Michael Isikoff, NBC, re USS Cole investigation.

Friday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): John Loftus, author, "America's Nazi Secrets."

 

Friday 1105P (805P Pacific Time): John Cochrane, NYT, Euro problems.

Friday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): Henry Miller, Hoover, re cholera in Haiti and in history.

Friday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):

Friday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): continued .

 

Friday/Sat 1205A (905 Pacific Time): Ellison continued.

Friday/Sat  1220A (920 Pacific Time): Ellison continued.

Friday/Sat  1235A (935P Pacific Time): Growing Up Jung: Coming of Age as the Son of Two Shrinks - by Micah Toub

 .

Friday/Sat  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.

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Thursday 23 December 2010

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Co-host: Joseph Brusuelas, Bloomberg senior economic analyst

Thursday 905P Eastern Time: Mary Kissel, WSJ editorial board, in re: good time to be thankful that the economy appears to be on a modest upswing; also, 6,000-plus earmarks avoided; do we choose a lackluster recovery, such as we have now, or shall we have a responsible Congress?  Joseph Brusuelas:  housing deleveraging still in process, will take years to work off that debt.  DPRK: the Bill Richardson trip included a lot of preening; as "sanctioned by the White House" - which the WH denied, and the trip undermined our ally in South Korea.
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Thursday 920P Eastern Time:  Gene Countryman, NewsRadio AM 1330 KNSS, Wichita, Kansas, in re: the economy in the heart of the country: doing well because we have three pillars - agriculture, aviation, and oil & gas. Land prices are good. New wind turbine company. Kansas means "People of he South Wind."No Democrat is left at the State level in Kansas.  Koch Brothers headquartered in Wichita. J Brusuelas: Most of the country is addicted to "meds and eds," will go through a structural adjustment.  
Thursday 935P Eastern Time: Gregory Zuckerman, WSJ and author, The Greatest Trade Ever, in re: gold, and insider trading
Thursday 950P Eastern Time:  Rich Tullo, chief analyst, Albert Fried and Co, in re:  Net neutrality. Waiting for FCC to put on its website the rules it promised to promulgate. None of this makes sense till we have the rules and specificity.  The FCC has decided to say that wireless broadband should not be regulated, whereas telephony - cell phone signals to animate an iPad, for example - ought to be regulated.  Thus, the feds choose a winner and a loser.  Advantage will go to companies that want to provide content without operating the broadband (e.g., hulu) - OTS, over the tops service. Creating a regulatory arbitrage - and nontransparently till the FCC finally publishes what it promised.
 
Thursday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Bill Roggio, Long War Journal and FDD; Arif Rafiq, ForeignPolicy.com, in re: first recorded instance of the capture of Qods Force operative in Afghanistan. The operative doubled as a Taliban commander and shipped weapons from Iran to Kandahar province.
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Thursday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  John Loftus, Esq, author, America's Nazi Secret, in re: WikiLeaks. Julian Assange's monopoly on the 251,000 cables has been broken - Oslo's Aftenposten has a copy.  Little Julian has been sidelined. He now announces that he's too important a figure in the world, that Cameron and the British people would never allow him to be extradited to the US.  Meanwhile, Pvt Bradley Manning stands to face the death penalty, and so probably will flip to testify against Assange. Possible itinerary: Assange to Sweden, then to the US. Cables: Anna Nicole Smith in the Bahamas; McDonald's tries to pressure El Salvador; after Iran jams the signals of the BBC's Persian TV service, Britain looks for ways to limit the operations of the Iranian state broadcaster in the UK.  

 

Thursday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Joe Rago, WSJ, in re: Sibellius regulations re what is "unreasonable profit" for insurers under Obamacare? 
Thursday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):  Mark Schroder, Stratfor, in re: Ivory Coast turmoil, Gbagbo  shunned by EU and endorsed by Angola 
 
Thursday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):  Andrew Martin NYT, in re: foreclosure errors and house ransackings by banks
Thursday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  Marko Papic, Stratfor, in re: Byelarus election, and the Stalinist Lite of Alexander Lukashenko moves closer to Kremlin,   
Thursday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):  Nicholas Wade, NYT, in re: house fly brains teach about neurons in the human brain
Thursday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  Ben Casselman, WSJ, in re: Gulf of Mexico energy infrastructure outdated and fragile and not inspected. 
 
Thursday/Fri 1205A (905 Pacific Time):    Mallory Factor, co-founder of The Monday Meeting, in re: America in 2011 (and is broke).
Thursday/Fri  1220A (920 Pacific Time):  Dan Henninger, WSJ, cheerful at Christmas, looking to the New Year and the new Congress, 112th
Thursday/Fri  1235A (935P Pacific Time):  H.W. Brands, author, American Colossus.
Thursday/Fri  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.
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Wednesday 22 December 2010

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Co-hosts: Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, and Jeff Bliss, The Bliss Index

Wednesday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time):  Jeff Bliss, Gordon Chang, in re: "OK, Julian - whatch'a got on China?"  Chinese property bubble
Wednesday 920P Eastern Time (620P Pacific Time):  Claudia Rosett, FDD, in re: Has the US deputized China to keep DPRK in line?  . . .  Richardson seems to have gone to DPRK under his own steam with a sort of ex-post-facto acceptance by State and the WH.  Results unencouraging. Durban III.
Wednesday 935P Eastern Time (635P Pacific Time):   Debra Saunders, San Francisco Chronicle, in re: The Pineapple Express: a jet airstream from Hawaii to California that's flooding Southern California.  Mayor Newsom: mystery as to who'll succeed him. Which Board of Supervisors gets to choose - the liberal current board or the more conservative ones entering in a few days?  Gavin Newsom, considered conservative by San Francisco standards, said at the Chronicle today that had he not endorsed same-sex marriages he would've lost his  last election.
Wednesday 950P Eastern Time (650P Pacific Time):  John Loftus, Esq, America's Nazi Secret and Intl Intell Summit, in re: WikiLeaks, CHina, Assange.  Michael Moore brags about giving $20K to Assange's bail.   US cable reveals that Cuba had banned Moore's film Sicko; also that US was panicked at the prospect of Moore's film Farenheit 911 playing in New Zealand. WikiLeaks have deleted material that could be detrimental to Chinese interests. Redacting names of Chinese officials, esp spies. Julian running dog of Gang of Cadres?  Nothing redacted among Vatican names; how puzzling.  This recalls senior Chinese officials' having been apoplectic on learning that their names and investments were obtainable via Google. WikiLeaks has been banned in Mainland, so pro-Chinese leaning is in fact a mystery. Little Julian worried today that Manning, who faces the death penalty, may collaborate with authorities.  Sweden will extradite someone for common theft.
 
Wednesday 1005P Eastern  (705P Pacific Time):   Toshi Yoshihara, Naval War College; author: Red Star over the Pacific, in re: PLAN (Peoples Liberation Army and Navy) to build a carrier, medium-sized or several.  designed both to improve China's prestige and to support China's regioanal objectives: competitive vs smaller, weaker SE Asian neighbors. Also will be a large target for Vietnamese subs just bought from Russia. Ch has refurbished the Varyag, which was Russian; will be training platform, also training pilots to fly off these carriers. Probably can find dry docks on Google Earth.  All makes sense if China doesn't go into an economic tailspin, but their plans are paced and methodical.  (India also has a carrier, as do lesser regional powers, so Beijing thinks it deserves to have one.) Pro tem, will operate behind the First Island Chain.  have a missile ring so the carrier can operated incl coercively against Taiwan and smaller neighbors.  Rule of thumb is to have three carriers for each one at sea: one under repair, one for training, and one at sea 24/7. China may elect to use fewer, so while the US has eleven, China may need only three or four.  A Chinese carrier that can assert sea control and dominate the air will be plenty to alarm SE Asian nations; China has enough missiles to coerce Taiwan without a carrier. 
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Wednesday 1020P Eastern (720P Pacific Time):  continued. Next ninety years in the Pacific with duelling submarine fleets.  China weak in ASW and mine-detection; the more the US and Japan develop subs, the more they exploit these weaknesses. Japan amplifying sub fleet from 16 to 22; have adopted a posture more in line with post-Cold War realities, in response to China's aggressive moves. Building some of the best subs in the world: have AIP, allowing subs to operate at longer distances and underwater for much longer periods.  For the past decade, China has assumed that Japan would have a more muscular policy.  US fleet has 50-plus Los Angeles class attack submarines;  China does not yet have an answer to US submarines.  Barring a technology that makes the waters transparent (unlikely). The hope is that Japan will share some of the burden, perhaps conduct some of their operations closer to Chinese shores and so release US subs to do other things. Does Tokyo have hte wil to use these assets? Command and control are tricky - once at sea, communications to HQ are divey, and subs sometime bumbp into each other, In Peace time, however, th=suns are a deterrent to China and also can gatehr enormous amts of info. It's underwater ships that will best protect the US in this century.   Senkaku Islands dispute.  
Wednesday 1035P Eastern  (735P Pacific Time):    Can the Chinese adjust? Not likely - they're on a bender.
Wednesday 1050P Eastern (750P Pacific Time): Evan Ramstad, WSJ Asia, in re: South Korean mistrust of North grows 
 
Wednesday 1105P  Eastern (805P Pacific Time):  Rich Tullo, Albert Fried and Company , in re: Net Neutrality and the lack of FCC clarity and rulings.
Wednesday 1120P Eastern (820P Pacific Time):  Russell Berman, The Hill, in re: Defense authorization act approved and how it was approved.
Wednesday 1135P Eastern  (835P Pacific Time):  Denise Grady, NYT, in re: torn aorta that killed Holbroooke - what and how?
Wednesday 1150P Eastern  (850P Pacific Time):  Matthew Kamnsky, WSJ, in re: Afghanistan year-end review, never gonna leave, not 2011, not 2014.  
 
Wednesday/Thurs 1205A  Eastern (905 Pacific Time):  James Taranto, WSJ, in re: 364-days-a year Napolitano, DNI James Clapper uninformed of the London jihad arrests, Eric Holder unwilling to use the word "Islam."
Wednesday/Thurs  1220A Eastern (920 Pacific Time):  David Weidner,  Marketwatch.com , in re: the tax cut deal is a win win for Wall Street.
Wednesday/Thurs  1235A  Eastern (935P Pacific Time):  
Wednesday/Thurs  1250A  Eastern (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.
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Tuesday 21 December 2010

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Right: near Juba, on the    western bank of the White Nile
Tuesday 905P Eastern Time: David Drucker, Roll Call, in re: lame duck
Tuesday 920P Eastern Time: John Loftus, author of America's Nazi Secrets, in re: WikiLeaks
Tuesday 935P Eastern Time:  Adam Nossiter, NYT, in re: Ivory Coast troubles
Tuesday 950P Eastern Time:  Alan Cowell, NYT, in re: WikiLeaks and Litvinenko polonium murder of 2006
 
Tuesday 1005P (705P Pacific Time): John Fund, WSJ, in re: 2012 GOP candidates, Net neutrality
Tuesday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): Bill McGurn, WSJ, in re: ROTC
Tuesday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Lou Ann HammondDrivingTheNation.com, in re: Chrysler, Ford, GMC
Tuesday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): John Bolton, AEI, in re: New START
 
Tuesday 1105P (805P Pacific Time): Arif Rafiq, ForeignPolicy.com, and Bill Roggio, LongWarJournal.org, in re: Barak Baraki
Tuesday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): Bret Stephens, WSJ, in re: China
Tuesday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): Bob Zimmerman, BehindTheBlack.com, in re: weather
Tuesday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): Carl Zimmer, NYT, in re: Neanderthal massacre 50,000 years ago
 
Tue/Wed 1205A (905 Pacific Time): Amy Hoak, MarketWatch, in re: how to sell a house with magic
Tue/Wed 1220A (920 Pacific Time): Josh Kron, NYT, in re: Southern Sudan referendum to break away from Khartoum 
Tue/Wed  1235A (935P Pacific Time): Vice Admiral Jerry Miller, author of Stockpile, in re: our nuke arsenal
Tue/Wed  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.


GMC Sierra 2010 monster concept truck
drivingthenation.com:   It's got everything on it - lockable side storage, frame-mounted recovery hooks, composite bed liner, 360 flood light. The concept beats out Ford by offering motorized illuminated assist steps. Carl Zipfel, GMC's Chief designer, gave the concept a bigger  grille, larger hood and bulky quarter panels. It's got greater ground clearance and greater off-road capability.
GMC says the concept will have an estimated conventional towing capacity of 13,000 pounds and an estimated fifth-wheel towing capacity of 15,600 pounds. It's powered by a 6.6-liter Duramax turbo-diesel V-8 and Allison 1000 six-speed automatic transmission powertrain combination.  . . . The Duramax is rated at 397 horsepower and an astounding 765 foot-pounds of torque.
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Monday 20 December 2010

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Iraq-USAF-Falcon.jpgMonday 905P Eastern Time: John Loftus, author of "America's Nazi Secrets", in re: UK terror arrests and WikiLeaks
Monday 920P Eastern Time: Mary O'Grady, WSJ, in re: Honduras and WikiLeaks
Monday 935P Eastern Time:  Co-host John Avlon, The Daily Beast, in re: DADT and DREAM
Monday 950P Eastern Time: Rich Tullo, Albert Fried, in re: net neturality
 
Monday 1005P (705P Pacific Time): David Drucker, Roll Call, in re: Senate START
Monday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): Bob Zimmerman, BehindTheBlack.com, in re: NASA year in review
Monday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Arif Rafiq, ForeignPolicy.com and Bill Roggio, LongWarJournal.org, in re: AfPakia
Monday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): John Avlon, The Daily Beast, in re: mosque at Ground Zero
 
Monday 1105P (805P Pacific Time): Gordon Chang, Forbes.com and Bruce Bechtol, Angelo State, in re: North Korea
Monday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): Tom Lauricella, WSJ, in re: Muni market collapse
Monday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): Adam Nossiter, NYT, in re: Abijan Ivory Coast Showdown, UN Under siege
Monday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): Sean Carroll, NYT, in re: proto animal one cell creatures and evolution
 
Mon/Tue1205A (905 Pacific Time): Mark Oppenheimer, NYT, in re: astronomy and evangelicalism
Mon/Tue  1220A (920 Pacific Time): Kim Strassel, WSJ, in re: omnibus spending pork defeated
Mon/Tue  1235A (935P Pacific Time): Aaron Klein, 77 WABC Radio, in re: PA lawfare strategy
Mon/Tue  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt. 
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Saturday 18 and Sunday 19 December 2010

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Saturday 18 December 2010
Guest-host: Aaron Task, Yahoo Finance
Co-host: Joseph Brusuelas, Bloomberg senior economic analyst

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Saturday 905P Eastern Time:  Aaron Task, Joseph Brusuelas, in re:   news round-up. Joe Brusuelas is fairly bullish on the U.S. economy, forecasting 4% GDP in the fourth quarter and 3% in the first quarter of 2011. And yet he doesn't believe the economy will grow fast enough to bring the unemployment rate below 9% by next Christmas, and he sees another 5-10% decline in US home prices, which is going to be a bad combination for all incumbents come 2012.
Saturday 920P Eastern Time:  Sen Ted Kaufman (D-DE) in re:  the state of the omnibus spending bill, which is currently imperiled in Congress. Sen. Kaufman says the GOP's refusal even to discuss higher taxes is the real reason why there's no progress on the deficit.    
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Saturday 935P Eastern Time:  Bill Roggio, Long War Journal and FDD, in re:  WikiLeaks; Pak ISI outs CIA station chief in vengeance.   The real damage is to diplomacy long-term, where international dips will be reluctant to speak openly to American officials. If we leave precipitately, the Taliban will again take over Afghanistan and continue to work closely with al Qaeda. Could possibly see a collapse of areas in NW Pakistan.  Victory in Afghanistan means leaving behind a stable government and society; that will take at least another decade.
Saturday 950P Eastern Time:  Kristin Benz, talentedblonde.com, in re:  retail. Two economies: true, high-end consumers are doing fine; our middle class is vanishing.     
Left: pleasant gifts for those whose incomes are wonderfully comfortable.

..  ..  ..  
Since the 1970s, more and more of America's wealth has gone to the top 10 percent of the population.  The median income in America according to the last census was $32,140.00 per year. The average is a bit different because there are several factors to consider when calculating income by age, demographics, type of job, etc. For example, those who have only completed a 9th grade education have a median income of $17,422.00; high school graduates have a median income of $26,505.00; while those with a professional degree have a median income of $82,473.00. These figures come from the last census and, given the current recession, today's totals are probably a bit off.  
http://www.examiner.com/economic-policy-in-san-diego/unequal-distribution-of-income-america
..  ..  ..  
 
Saturday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Aaron Task, Joseph Brusuelas, in re:   news round-up. Bets on defaults by sovereign nations. US refuses to default - will do almost anything to avoid that. In Europe, the social contract is crumbling in front of their eyes. They have to accept "internal devaluation" - wages fall; also pension payments will have to be cut by perhaps 20%.  Greeks can't retire at fifty; more likely seventy. French upset that they won't be able to retire in fashion. Hedgies nibbling on minnows; waiting for UK, Europe, Japan, then the US.  AT: you're in fact more optimistic than most of the economists I talk to - and you're not very optimistic.  JB:  Europe takes 20% of our exports.  Even if US growth is near 4% in Q4, the Fed will continue to buy.  Crisis of confidence: could it happen again in banking? It 's not the banking system - it's the solvency of the governments, themselves. If Italy unwinds, Lehman will look like a walk in the park. There simply does not exist enough money to bail out Italy.
Saturday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  Bruce E. Bechtol Jr., Angelo State and author, Defiant Failed State, in re:  the Koreas. Current tension recalls the time a few years ago when two US servicemen were hacked to death by North Koreans. Te succession issue will obtain for a while to come. The cycle that North Korea is now notorious  for:   1. Initiate tension through violent provocation or brinkmanship (e.g., nuclear or missile test)   2.  Ramp up the tension as nations with an interest in the region react   3.  Bring in "non-governmental" people (e.g., Richardson, Selig Harrison, Siegfried Hecker, etc.) to "get the word" back to Washington that North Korea is "ready to deal."   4. Receive concessions and aid from the United States, South Korea, and others.   5. Replay the game.  The North Koreans have been playing this game since the Cold War ended; they're good at it.   The relevant WikiLeaks have referred to low-level Chinese officials.     Ju-Sheh means "self-reliance" [Amb John Bolton offers dryly that it really means "extortion"].   Chinese have mining rights and port rights in DPRK; these will come in play at an awkward moment in the future. 
Saturday 1035P (735P Pacific Time): John Loftus, author, America's Nazi Secret, in re: WIkiLeaks. US case probably will hinge on stolen property; assert that Assange dangled bait in front of Private Manning: you steal the files, we'll honor you and publish them.  "Soliciting a crime" means asking someone to commit a crime, or having an agreement to commit a crime; can't be mere words, need to have on overt act.  Grand jury said already to have been empanelled in Northern Virginia. Whole group will probably will be indicted for common thievery, but Manning may be indicted under Espionage Act (death penalty).   By and large, WikiLeaks have done well by Israel and the US: cables show that Arab leaders secretly favor bombing Iran, and the like. Not much scandal, but a real chilling effect on diplomacy.  Did unhappily reveal which major pipelines and international cables are unprotected, leaving a great deal of global commerce, communication and energy to be destroyed by al Qaeda or any of a thousand malcontents.
Saturday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, in re: Food inflation is over 11%, Chinese Academy suggest 18% or greater.   China should increase interest rates, but have historically have used them poorly, slammed the brakes on, and upset the entire society and killed economic growth. Last year put $1.1 tril into the economy to insufficient effect - is a tiny percentage of Chinese economy compared to what the Fed has done in the US.  Would do best to let the currency appreciate.  Monetary policy is an imprecise instrument - killing a tsetse fly with an anvil, risk breaking the table.  This is the third time inflation has spiralled in recent memory.  However, the largest monopolies are making money hand over fist, but smaller, coastal operations are running on razor-thin margins.  Poor people now spend about half their income on food.
Japanese defense review evaluates China with a jaded eye:  warns of China's military might, unveils sweeping changes to its national defencs polices, boosting its southern forces in response to China's military rise.  Troops moved from north to south, near maritime border with China  More Patriot missiles to counter possible North Korean attack  Defense budget of 23.49tn yen ($280bn; £180bn) for next five years, down 3%  More submarines (up from 16 to 22); fewer tanks (down from 600 to 400).   The review labels China's military build-up a "matter of concern"; US-Japan alliance "indispensable."
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Saturday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):  David Stockman, former OMB director, in re: tax deal; deficits; solvency of the United States.  Thirty years of fiscal recklessness. On the margin, much of the money will leak out to buy junk from China using Uncle Sam's credit card to go into debt to buy what we don't need.  Tremendous binge of public and private borrowing. The medications injected into the Economy by the Fed - none has worked because the underlying problem is too much debt on middle-class households. We cannot return to the artificial, debt-financed boom of the last few year. Then it'll take years of slow liquidation of the debt, of reduced living standards, before we can have a healthy economy again. There will be no silver bullet - when you spend thirty years taking the debt level from $1.5 tril (1.6 x GDP) to $3 tril, there's no easy way out. The Keynesian idea is the wrong diagnosis with this massive debt overhang.
Saturday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): continued. Running these deficits is just a future form of taxation. The Republican Party has taken one plank, call it Austrian economics, and turned it into a fetish. I can't believe Republican Congressmen want the Fed to keep printing $100 bil each month to buy the debt. When you have the Fed trying to get Grandma to take her savings to buy stocks [at a remotely possible reasonable rate of return, unlike US Treasurys] instead of food for herself, I do not call that success.
Saturday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): Michele Steele,  Bloomberg,  in re: sports business        
Saturday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  David Gordon, Eurasia Group director of research, in re:   Europe. Are we rescuing European nations, or European banks? This topic has just begun to creep in to the debate. Difference between the Greeks and Irish, where the latter have more in common with Germans in respect of work ethic. Hard to know the sequencing of this in advance. Looks as though the center [Germany and France] may hold. 
 
Saturday/Sun 1205A (905 Pacific Time):  John Cassidy,  The New Yorker,  in re: Wall Street has no socially-redeeming quality, at all.   We've had privatized gains, socialized risk.  Banking oligopoly of four or five banks. City of London: a few hedge funds have moved to Geneva, but not a mass exodus.
Saturday/Sun 1220A: (920 Pacific Time):   Aaron Task and Joseph Brusuelas in re: structural unemployment   
Saturday/Sun 1235A: (935P Pacific Time):  Essie Cupp, author of Losing Our Religion,the Liberal Attack on Christianity, and Fox, in re: politics; attacks on Christmas and Christianity: humanize the left and demonize Christianity; WSJ/NBC Poll on Obama vs Palin. Mitt Romney and MassCare.
Saturday/Sun 1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt. 
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Sunday 19 December 2010

Sunday  905P Eastern Time: Mona Chaen and Jodi Schneider re the tax cut deal, re Omnibus busted, re DADT and DREAM.
Sunday 920P Eastern Time: continued re CR and taxes.
Sunday 935P Eastern Time: John Loftus, author, re Assange gossip and Wikileaks.
Sunday 950P Eastern Time: Matthew Sterling, Heritage, re Lame Duck sessions and major treaties since 1933.
 
Sunday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):John Avlon and John Fund, re Omnibus busted, re tax cut deal, re DREAM and DADT.
Sunday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): continued re Wikileaks.
Sunday 1035P (735P Pacific Time): Larry Johnson, Salena Zito, Jeff Bliss: re 
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Sunday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): Homer Hickam, WSJ, re US moon colony.
Sunday 1105P (805P Pacific Time): Bruce Bechtol, author "Failed State;" and Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, re South Korea live fire test and North Korea threats.
Sunday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): Arif Rafiq, re Wen Jiabao visits Pakistan, re CIA station chief flees Pakistan.
Sunday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): Malcolm Hoenlein, in Jerusalem, re PA breaks off talks with Israel.
Sunday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): Bob Zimmerman, re Dragon Storm on Jupiter.
 
Sunday/Mon 1205A (905 Pacific Time): Toshi Yoshihara, Naval War College, re China builds a carrier (3 or 4) and Japan builds out the submarine fleet to 22; naval arms race in Asia.
Sunday/Mon 1220A: (920 Pacific Time): LArry Schweiger, National Wildlife Federation, re 5oth anniversary of  ANWR.
Sunday/Mon 1235A: (935P Pacific Time): Aaron Klein, WABC, re tourist attack in Israel, re PA fragmentation.
Sunday/Mon 1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.


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Friday 17 December 2010

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Friday 905P Eastern Time: John Loftus, author of "America's Nazi Secrets", in re: WikiLeaks
Friday 920P Eastern Time: Craig Unger, OpenTopic.com, in re: WikiLeaks
Friday 935P Eastern Time:  Joseph Brusuelas, Bloomberg, in re: economy
Friday 950P Eastern Time: Wendell Jamieson, NYT, in re: Park Slope 1960
 
Friday 1005P (705P Pacific Time): Seb Gorka, FDD, in re: counterinsurgency
Friday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): Ben Zimmer, NYT, in re: Word of the Year
Friday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Bill Roggio, LongWarJournal.org; Rufus Phillips, author; Arif Rafiq, ForeignPolicy.com, in re: Af-Pakia
Friday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): continued
 
Friday 1105P (805P Pacific Time): Michael Vlahos, author, in re: unanswered questions of the year
Friday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): Bob Zimmerman, BehindTheBlack.com, in re: moon colony
Friday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): Elizabeth Rosenthal, NYT, in re: biomass fuel in Sweden
Friday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): Catherine Rampell, NYT, in re: Broadway economics
 
Friday/Sat 1205A (905 Pacific Time): Homer Hickam, WSJ, in re: moon colony
Friday/Sat  1220A (920 Pacific Time): Matt Bai, The New York Times, in re: history of social legislation since FDR
Friday/Sat  1235A (935P Pacific Time): Martin Bojowald, author of "Once Before Time"
Friday/Sat  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt. 

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Thursday 16 December 2010

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Thursday 905P Eastern Time:  David Drucker, Roll Call, in re: remaining business in the Senate today: Omnibus spending bill, Dream Act, DADT
Thursday 920P Eastern Time:  Patrick O'Connor, Dow Jones, in re:  About the tax bill, 250 Democratic votes plus a few Blue Dogs; how many Republican?  "The partisan warfare that has characterized the lame-duck session enveloped the Senate's debate over the new Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty on Wednesday, with Republicans' vowing to block ratification and Democrats' countering that the GOP has negotiated in bad faith."
Thursday 935P Eastern Time:  John Loftus, Esq, in re: WikiLeaks, Assange's release from prison today
Thursday 950P Eastern Time:  Adam Nossiter, NYT, Ivory Coast bloodshed 
 
Thursday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Shelley Berkley (D-NV-1), in re:  . . .  Stuart Levey.  palestinain leaders refuse to act like grown-ups, which leaves the Palestinian people to be treated like children and endure a see-saw, a bouncing ball of politics.  JB: Shelley Berkley speaks for the United States, not for any party; hope she runs for Senate.
Thursday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  Michael B. Oren, ambassador from Israel to the US, in re: Arab League advises that it no longer supports continued negotiations.  BBC: 'Arab foreign ministers have rejected further Palestinian-Israeli peace talks without a "serious offer" from the US on ending the Middle East conflict."  US Congress has made an historic decision to maintain Israel's capacity to protect itself; in response to the sale to Saudi Arabia, redress the imbalance with Israeli purchases of jets.  Refugees, borders, security, Jerusalem, are the central issues in the talks.  Mr Abbas: if he can turn to South and Central American countries and the UN, not have to recognize Israel or make real peace, why should he do it?  That's why yesterday's Congressional resolution is so important.
Thursday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Malcolm Hoenlein, in re: Durban I: originally a conference called in South Africa to deal with xenophobia and racism, turned into a marathon against Israel.  Durban II had one keynoter, Ahmadinejad, and failed. Now the UN has voted to approve a Durban III - the week after 9/11 of 2011, in New York - to celebrate Durban I.  Canada and other states have announced they will not participate in such a travesty.  Richard Holbrooke: had an overwhelming personality; he and his mother were my guests in Germany. Once he called me, asked me to meet him immediately; Malcolm left a meeting, raced over - and was taken into the General Assembly, seated next to Holbrooke, to clarify to the Arab nations the position of the United States. Iran: a Basij general has threatened to kill US general in reaction to Stuxnet - a gangster state casually exposes its ethos tot he world.  Ahmadinejad is confident that he won't be reproached.  Has threatened to destroy the tomb of Queen Esther in Hamadan.  Mottaki fired, replaced by the nuclear weapons negotiator; turmoil in the Cabinet? No - a demonstration of power. Ahmadinejand fired Mottaki when he was overseas.  Montazeri was supposed to be successor; he died and the junior Ahmadinejad secured his power. It's a Stalinist state. Said that he's cut Hizballah's budget by 40%  Stuart Levey, Dept of the Treasury, works on interrupting illegal flows of cash to Teheran; the Hizballah budget curt may be due to his good work; also inadequate funds to refuel leadership's jets. Jundalla and he explosions.  Rather than the regime's growing weaker, the leader simply tightens its grip on the populace and makes them suffer more.
Thursday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):  Dina Siegel Vann, director, Latino and Latin American Institute, AJC, in re:  in 2005 Chavez signed a cooperative relationship treaty with Iran, which is now active in multiple Latin American countries. Recall the 1992 attack in Buenos Aires, and another in 1994; proven unequivocally that Hizballah ran the attacks. We need to be clear about the scope of the danger and stop it before it becomes too late.   Anti-Jewishness now expressed openly and physical attack s in Venezuela. In Brazil and Argentina, in the last week both countries recognized a unilaterally-declared Palestinian stat within the 1967 borders. This is occurring when the US has established  new framework for peace in the Middle East.  There are large - huge - Palestinian communities in Chile, Brazil, Argentina. 
 
Thursday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):  David Makovsky, Washington Institute, in re: Israeli-Palestinian talks and negotiations. Arab foreign ministers now reject the peace talks, endorses Abbas's rejection.   This administration made a mistake in setting the bar to high on the settlements issue, and so boxed in both Netanyahu and Abbas. Now we see a refocus, jettisoning the appetisers, turning to the main course. The US now will be negotiating with each side; the differences are narrower than people think so there's some basis for continuing. Rooting out imams who agitate  for suicide bombings, reducing manned checkpoints from 42 to 1, building 120 new schools, and the like. In the Middle East, when it's all or nothing, it's always nothing.  You can make progress on a host of minor issues, but when you deny someone's holy sites, you bring everything to a halt. Last year, the totality  of disagreements was 4% of the issues. Unilateralism: not going to be solved that way. In the Middle East, two can be unilateral.  
Thursday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  Herb Keinon, dip correspondent, JPost, in re: Arab foreign ministers reject peace talks; they threaten to take the whole settlement issue to the Security Council. Tactically, smart for Arabs, as that's Israel's Achilles' heel.  To go to the General Assembly would be a no-brainer.  Let the world know that there were 750,000 Palestinian refugees, while there were 900,000 Jewish refugees from Arab nations: all obliged to flee, their property was seized, no court to hear the cases. Israel has absorbed that depredation all this time without complaint.
Thursday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):  Bret Stephens, WSJ, in re: Europe needs a tea party   
Thursday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): Joshua Teitelbaum, Hoover, in re:  Saudi succession   
 
Thursday/Fri 1205A (905 Pacific Time): Dan Henninger, WSJ, in re: what are taxes for?   
Thursday/Fri  1220A (920 Pacific Time): Michael Slackman, NYT, in re: German raids on Islamic centers      
Thursday/Fri  1235A (935P Pacific Time):  Abbas Milani, Hoover, and author
Thursday/Fri  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.  

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Wednesday 15 December 2010

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First Island Chain: Japan, the Ryukyus and Taiwan;
first barrier to China's navy having free access to the Pacific
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Co-hosts: Gordon Chang, Forbes.com; Jeff Bliss, The Bliss Index

Wednesday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time):  Joseph Sternberg, WSJ Asia, in re: WikiLeaks methods drip into China's uncomfortable leadership. Intellectual property. "China WikiLeaks Itself: Perhaps the threat of cyber crime will finally lead to a long-awaited intellectual-property epiphany."   Who will be the Chinese Bradley Manning, the Chinese Julian Assange?
Wednesday 920P Eastern Time (620P Pacific Time):  Gordon Chang, in re:  Inflation in China: in 1989 China suffered inflation and reacted too little too late. Has no independent operation comparable to the Fed.  Wen Jia-bao makes decisions. Currently 5.1%; fourth-generation leaders will give way to fifth-generation leaders in 2012, and no one wants to be responsible for a big decision right now. Rare earths: in September, China cut off exports to Japan, then three weeks later to the US and EU.  Is China going into reverse on almost everything? A real problem in the political system; we need to worry about it all.  Beijing's tone becoming increasingly belligerent, causing neighbors to turn to the US for protection. In 2002, Pakistan sent P2 centrifuges to DPRK, used Chinese military facilities to implement the exchange.
Chinese Shelter Operator Is Accused of Selling Laborers: A pig farmer who operated a shelter in Szechuan Province was detained, and the police seized the owner of a construction materials company.   Also, Amid Tension, South Korea Holds Nationwide Air-Raid Drill: Fighter planes roared overhead and schoolchildren were hustled into subway stations in Seoul, a city still tense after last month's artillery exchange. 
Wednesday 935P Eastern Time (635P Pacific Time): Devin Nunes (CA-21), and David Drucker, Roll Call, in re: Hotel California. Devin Nunes has written a pension bill; Gov Schwarzenegger has recently admitted that the Cal pension system is in rough shape.  Cong Nunes's bill:  These old Socialists never go away; they just believe that the next exit off the highway will be that last exit to Utopia. Bluntly, not everyone can work for the government. There are 2,500 public pensions across the country; we ask for each to report. If not, why should we subsidize your taxpayer-sponsored government bonds? Transparency?  Yikes.  DN: if they fight it, let's go, let's fight it. The next meltdown will be in state and municipal pensions, in pensions and bond debts. (The munis are attached to the states's inability to repay their bond obligations.) These subprimes are offering 8 to 12%; private businesses can't muster 4%.  The governor is really up against it.  
Wednesday 950P Eastern Time (650P Pacific Time):  Michael Moore, Bloomberg, in re: bonuses at Goldman and J P Morgan Chase (for Dimon and Blankfein)
 
Wednesday 1005P Eastern  (705P Pacific Time):  Martin Fackler, NYT Tokyo bureau chief; Gordon Chang; Jeff Bliss, in re: Japan has had painful relations with both China and Korea for centuries; now, however, as DPRK turns extremely dangerous and China militarily challenges the interests of all East and South Asia, Japan needs to emerge from its post-WWII shell and take a lead role in protecting independence and democracies. Adm Mullen pushed for South Korea and Japan to collaborate; South Korea remembers the fearful Japanese depredations and resists.  Meanwhile Chinese aggression in the East China Sea obliges Japan to defend the First Island Chain, although domestic Japanese public opinion tends to be passive. The Japanese Self-Defense Forces are proud of their training and history, a bit less passive.  Okinawa bears too much of the burden: 75% of US bases are in that one prefecture. Nonetheless, the alliance with the US has worked for 60 years, protected Japan, and allowed t to achieve an excellent economy, so not yet time to jettison the collaboration.
Japan plans military shift to focus more on China, is about to release guidelines reducing forces pointed toward Russia in favor of units that can respond to China 
Wednesday 1020P Eastern (720P Pacific Time):  Reza Kahlili, atimetobetray.com, in re:  Iran's plan to kill American generals is not an idle threat; a Basij general is making a clear warning to the US military, feel pain of the assassination of their top nuclear scientist, for whom they had high hope to solve the Stuxnet virus; are worried about their future. The al Quds force is capable of projecting power very widely; can execute US generals in Iraq and Afghanistan, Middle East and Europe.  Most Iranians are frightened that these madmen are taking them toward war but the populace are prisoners. High level of anxiety among Iranian people. Terror attack in Iran associated with Jandallah, which is also active in Baluchistan; Teheran accuses them of being supported by the CIA.  Right now, there's division among the IRGC; if the US increases pressure, the government might collapse - why are the US and Europe silent?  Minister Mottaki was fired: trouble at the top - Parliament, president, Khamenei, the clerics in Qum, and across the spectrum.
Wednesday 1035P Eastern  (735P Pacific Time):  Toshi Yoshihara, author, Red Star over the Pacific, and Naval War College, in re: Tokyo can't defend its key interests without he backing of the US Navy.  Joint exercises and close jointness are relatively new. In the past decade, Japan has signed on to peacekeeping operations, now find that their assets need to be closer at home to defend their own island, protect its own territory.  Not historically designed for force projection, more for self-defense.  Ongoing service dispute within Japanese forces, will need to break down institutional practices among the services. Boomers (missile-bearing submarines): the kind of technology are sensitive. Underwater detections system to discern Soviet subs breaking through the First Island Chai; can apply this to Chinese subs.   China will therefore have to limit its travels to the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea till it can defeat US and Japanese technology. Chinese subs are noisy; re building missile boats to control the bastion seas and push out in to the Pacific. Execute an "anti-access strategy": missile lethal to our surface combattants, esp the "Carrier Killer," 2,000 km launched from Chinese mainland to create a no-go zone against the US. Then their Boomers can operate with relative immunity. The Yellow Sea is thus their strength - and their weakness. Having the Senkaku Islands: having the dispute is a managed conflict with Japan; is strategic in that China sees them as part of a broader package to weaken Japan and Thence Taiwan.  See: Sir Julian Stafford Corbett*.
Wednesday 1050P Eastern (750P Pacific Time): Andrew Jacobs, NYT, in re: ethnic Mongolian dissident released by China is missing - Hada, imprisoned on charges of espionage and "separatism," was released last week when his 15-year term was up, but remains missing along with his son and wife.
 
Wednesday 1105P  Eastern (805P Pacific Time): Gordon Chang, and Bruce Bechtol, Angelo State, in re: 
Wednesday 1120P Eastern (820P Pacific Time):  Tom Keene, Bloomberg, in re: US recovery in train?
Wednesday 1135P Eastern  (835P Pacific Time):  Fouad Ajami, Hoover, in re: remembering Richard Holbrooke
Wednesday 1150P Eastern  (850P Pacific Time):  John Bolton, AEI, in re: New START in the Senate debate
 
Wednesday/Thurs 1205A  Eastern (905 Pacific Time):  Mark Schroeder, Stratfor, in re: Ivory Coast face-off and bloodshed 
Wednesday/Thurs  1220A Eastern (920 Pacific Time):  James Taranto, WSJ, in re: Obamacare, the courts, Eric Holder, Kathleen Sebelius
Wednesday/Thurs  1235A  Eastern (935P Pacific Time):  Susan Brooks Thistlethwaite, author, Dreaming of Eden
Wednesday/Thurs  1250A  Eastern (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.
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...   ...   ...

* Sir Julian Stafford Corbett (wikipedia)

. . .  Corbett offered no general theory of warfare at sea. Instead, Corbett focused his thoughts on the nature of maritime strategy and what the meaning of naval warfare meant to the power of a nation. While many theorists of naval warfare tried to mechanically adopt land warfare concepts to the maritime environment, Corbett countered that the interest and requirement of naval warfare differed in fundamental ways from those of land warfare.

a. Corbett felt that protecting lines of communication was much more difficult to enforce at sea than on land. This difficulty was the physical geographical differences of the sea and land. Because of these physical differences, Corbett analyzed naval warfare in its own terms, having its own unique characteristics. Corbett stated that you cannot conquer the sea because it is not susceptible to ownership. This led to Corbett's most important contribution to the early theories of naval warfare. What mattered most was not Mahan's concept of physical destruction of the enemy, but the act of passage on the sea. To Corbett, command of the sea was a relative and not an absolute which could be categorized as general or local, temporary or permanent. Corbett defined the two fundamental methods of obtaining control of the lines of communication as the actual physical destruction or capture of enemy warships and merchants, and or a naval blockade. Today, this concept is defined as sea control.

b. Corbett was not infatuated with the search for the decisive battle or with the need for the strategic offensive. In general, he favored the strategic defensive, with an emphasis on the offensive at the operational level. Corbett's strategic defence advocated such measures as an intense local offensive, the projection of land forces, various types of blockades, and raids on enemy trade routes. Moreover, Corbett recognized that once the enemy has been sufficiently weakened on sea and on land, the shift to the strategic offensive should not be delayed.

c. Corbett did not believe that the concentration of naval forces at sea was the highest and simplest law of strategy. On the contrary, he observed that the principle of concentration had become "a kind of shibboleth" that had done more harm than good. The principle of concentration is "a truism -- no one would dispute it. As a canon of practical strategy, it is untrue". Corbett felt that superior concentration thus not only deterred the weaker opponent from seeking battle but presented him with an opportunity to attack his enemy's exposed national lines of communication. Corbett felt that superior concentration of naval forces created yet another serious problem. The greater the concentration of afleet, the more difficult it was to conceal its whereabouts and movements.

d. In the process of adapting Clausewitz's theory to the unique circumstances of naval warfare, Corbett developed his own innovative theory of limited war in maritime strategy. The first of his two main points was that in wartime conditions on the continent, as opposed to those in the maritime and imperial environment, wars were fought mostly between adjacent states. Corbett's second point was that in wars between contiguous continental states "there will be no strategical obstacle to his [the enemy's] being able to use his whole force". In other words, the nature of continental war makes it difficult to limit political aims, because one or both states are able to use all of the means at their disposal to protect the inevitably threatened vital interests. As Corbett demonstrated, this means that the conditions for the ideal limited war exist only in maritime warfare and can only be exploited by the preponderant naval power: "Limited war is only permanently possible to island Powers or between Powers which are separated by sea, and then only when the Power desiring limited war is able to command the sea to such a degree as to be able not only to isolate the distant object, but also to render impossible the invasion of his home territory."

e. Like Clausewitz, Corbett shared a belief in the primacy of politics in war and in devising an appropriate strategy to protect the national interests. However, Corbett was interested in the diplomatic alliance systems and coalitions formed before and during a war, and he was concerned with the economic and financial dimensions of waging war as well as with the technological and material aspects of war, which were of no interest to Clausewitz.

[edit]

Works of enduring value

Corbett's value for today's military professional lies in four of his concepts:

  • (1) controlling lines of communications, focus on the enemy, and manoeuvre for tactical advantage;
  • (2) the aspects of political, economic and financial dimensions of waging war as well as with the technological and material aspects of war;
  • (3) the primacy of politics in war and in devising an appropriate strategy to protect the national interests and
  • (4) the emphasis on efficiency in battle while preserving costly assets.

However, it can be argued that his concept of limited war on isolated countries or nation states would be very difficult to achieve with today's political and economic intricacies between nations in conjunction with current technologies on a symmetric battlefield. However, they could still be applied on an asymmetric battlefield with success.





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Tuesday 14 December 2010

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Co-host: Larry Kudlow, 77WABC radio and CNBC
Tuesday 905P Eastern Time: Jeremy Siegel, Warden School, in re: Fed Policy
Tuesday 920P Eastern Time: Larry Kudlow, CNBC and 77WABC, in re: Bush tax cut deal
Tuesday 935P Eastern Time:  Greg Zuckerman, author, in re: gold bull and inflation
Tuesday 950P Eastern Time: Joe Brusuelas, Bloomberg, in re: Retail sales and GDP 2011
 
Tuesday 1005P (705P Pacific Time): Joe Rago, WSJ, in re: Obamacare challenge in federal court
Tuesday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): Larry Kudlow, CNBC and 77WABC, in re: Mitt Romney and the Bush tax cut deal
Tuesday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Louise Story, NYT, in re: derivatives and the big banks
Tuesday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): John Loftus, author, in re: Assange, bail and a secret grand jury in VA
 
Tuesday 1105P (805P Pacific Time): Bill McGurn, WSJ, in re: billionaires and class warfare
Tuesday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): Mark Schroeder, Stratfor, in re: Cot D'Ivore
Tuesday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): Bob Zimmerman, BehindTheBlack.com, in re: Virgin Galactic, Voyager
Tuesday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): Jeff Zeleny, The New York Times, Michael Steele runs again
 
Tuesday/Wed 1205A (905 Pacific Time): Ravi Somaiya, NYT, in re: Stockholm bomber
Tuesday/Wed  1220A (920 Pacific Time): Paul Dales, Capital Economics, in re: retail sales / GDP
Tuesday/Wed  1235A (935P Pacific Time): Richard Epstein, Hoover Institution, in re: Henry Hudson decision on healthcare unconstitutional 
Tuesday/Wed  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt. Jeff Bliss, The Bliss Index, in re: Cuban cigars
 


Monday 13 December 2010

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(Right) Henry Clay, known as  "The Great Compromiser."




"Henry Clay may have thundered at those who opposed him privately but, outwardly, he would never have called call his opponents 'hostage-takers.' Why? Because it would have placed him in a position of weakness -- exactly where Obama is right now, oddly portraying himself as a victim."  see below, 935P

Co-hosts: John Avlon, CNN and The Daily Beast

Monday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time):   Phil Izzo, Dow Jones, in re: economic growth
Monday 920P Eastern Time (620P Pacific Time):   David Drucker, Roll Call, in re:  Cornyn shifts to Phase 2 of majority battle plan, volunteered for a second consecutive tour of duty as National Republican Senatorial Committee chairman to finish the job of reclaiming a GOP majority in 2012. 
Monday 935P Eastern Time (635P Pacific Time):   Salena Zito, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, in re:Last week's tax-cut deal was no compromise. It was a log roll.  Henry Clay may have thundered at those who opposed him privately but, outwardly, he would never have called call his opponents "hostage-takers." Why? Because it would have placed him in a position of weakness -- exactly where Obama is right now, oddly portraying himself as a victim. 
Monday 950P Eastern Time (650P Pacific Time):   Adam Nagourney, NYT, in re: Los Angeles seeks to shed homelessness reputation  

Monday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):   Taegan Goddard, PoliticalWire, in re: Poll finds broad support for tax deal. A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds that 69% of Americans back the tax deal negotiated last week by President Obama and congressional Republicans.

Large majorities of Democrats, Republicans and independents alike favor the agreement -- including 69% of liberal Democrats. Also: More Republicans come out against Palin - several more prominent Republicans have questioned Sarah Palin's qualifications for president because she quit in the middle of her term as Alaska governor. 

Sen. Kit Bond (R-MO) told the Kansas City Star, "I have reservations about anyone who quits as governor halfway through the term." 

Former New Jersey Gov. Christine Todd Whitman (R) told CNN that, "I mean, she was a governor. But the fact that she left office before even completing her first term is -- that's just not an attitude that I think is necessarily in the best interest of your constituents -- rather what's in your best interests."

Monday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):   continued: Obama approval hits new low - a new McClatchy-Marist poll finds President Obama's approval rating has fallen to 42% -- the lowest of his presidency.   
Monday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):   Bill Roggio, FDD, and Ann Marlowe, Forbes.com and WorldAffairs.org, in re: Afghan developments in civil society, Zabul Province.  In some respects, the presence of US troops has brought new violence.  The road from Kabul to Mazar-i-Sharif is now safe again (it's the north that's the bulwark that's keeping the Taliban at bay). The east is a work in progress: Khost Province shows some progress but has the same ominous signs one hears in Kandahar: a shift from bombs and IEDs to targetted assassinations of officials.
Monday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):   Arif Rafiq, Pakistan Policy blog, and Bill Roggio, in re: Amb Richard Holbrooke, as he was being rolled into surgery, told the surgeon, a Pakistani, said, "You've go to stop this war in Pakistan." US gives $1.5 bil PA to Pakistan; "the benefits will be seen long-term," say the American pols. Not to try, however, would alienate our friends there. VBIED attacks and kills six US soldiers in Kandahar Province, called "the heart of darkness."


kim son- clapton fan 1.jpgThe ruling family of North Korea may be made up of homicidal despots currently threatening South Korea with nuclear war, but they know their British rock legends. CNN reports that one of the leaked diplomatic cables WikiLeaks published reveals that a North Korean official suggested that the United States arrange an Eric Clapton concert in Pyongyang as an act of "good will."

Kim Jong Chol is Kim Jong Il's middle son and his oldest child with 4th wife Ko Yong Hui.  He was born 25 September 1981 in Pyongyang.  He grew up in Pyongyang at a residence near Samsok District (Samsok-kuyok), Pyongyang.  From 1994 to 1998, Kim Jong Chol attended the International School of Berne under the pseudonym Pak Chol. 

(left) Kim Jon Choi at lower left, in school under pseudonym Pak Chol.
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Monday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):   Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, in re:    Chinese inflation, which is starting to gallop out of control (poor people spend half  their income on food), and the cadres haven't yet hit the panic button. Once before, they panicked too late and sent the economy into a tailspin.  Fine if China sells US debt.  No one is watching North Korea. US is overstretched in troops in Iraq and Afghanistan; since South Korea hasn't responded to recent provocations, the north is irrationally emboldened. In the south, former peaceniks are suddenly outraged, so in case of a bad act by the Kim regime Pres Lee will be obliged to do something, possibly generating a spiral.  Meanwhile, the north is in a complex succession situation, while in Beijing, the PLA is taking over more power.  One Kim son listens to Eric Clapton and one enjoys murdering people. In Burma, China supports the junta. When DPRK wants to transfer dangerous materials to Burma, such as nuclear materials, it does so through China.
Monday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):   Mary Anastasia O'Grady, WSJ, in re: troubled Haitian elections. The Haitian general election, originally scheduled in Haiti for 28 February 2010, was postponed to 28 November due to the January 2010 earthquake. Ten senators and all 99 deputies were to be elected. Presidential elections were also held, with a run-off scheduled for 16 January as no candidate received 50 percent of the votes cast. Candidates for run-off: 1. Jude Celestin, founder and executive director of the government's road-building outfit, the National Center of Equipment, and member of President René Préval's Unity (Inite) party. 2. Mirlande Manigat, a longtime opposition leader, professor, and former first lady.  3. Michel Martelly, a compas musician and entertainer whose lyrics have poked fun at the concept of the Haitian presidency.    Examples of commentary in French and Creo:http://www.haitielections2010.com/details.php?id=359 

Monday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):   John Loftus, Esq, in re:  America's secret Nazi agents in the Cold War. Lebed [pron: lyeh-bed], the Ukrainian monster. CIA, Moslem Brothers, Pakistan, Saudis. ("CIA didn't hire ObL; Bush did.") Justice and State desperately want to cover up the fact that they've been involved with some of the worst characters in  modern times.
Monday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):   Gretchen Morenson, NYT, in re:  the new FHFA boss - Mr Smith goes to Washington
 
Monday/Tues 1205A (905 Pacific Time):   Kamran Bokhari, Stratfor.com, in re:   Ahmadinejad fires Mottaki
Monday/Tues  1220A (920 Pacific Time):   Julian Piquet, The Hill, in re: federal judge rules health-care bill mandates unconstitutional
Monday/Tues  1235A (935P Pacific Time):   Adam Nossiter, NYT, in re: Ivory Coast - two presidents; trouble  
Monday/Tues  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.  
 
The fired Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki and his replacement, Ali Akbar Salehi.
Mottaki and replacement, ali akhbar salehi.jpg

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Saturday 11 and Sunday 12 December 2010

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Saturday 11 December 2010

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Saturday 905P Eastern Time:  America's Nazi Secret: An Insider's History (Conspiracy Theories) -  by John Loftus     
Saturday 920P Eastern Time: continued.
        
Saturday 935P Eastern Time:  Sarah: The Life of Sarah Bernhardt by Robert Gottlieb.       
Saturday 950P Eastern Time:  continued.        
 
Saturday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Shakedown: The Continuing Conspiracy Against the American Taxpayer by Steven Malanga.    
Saturday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  continued.
       
 Saturday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):  continued.    
 
Saturday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):  Proofiness: The Dark Arts of Mathematical Deception by Charles Seife.       
Saturday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  continued.       
bloodlands.jpg
Saturday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):  Bloodlands: Europe Between Hitler and Stalin by Timothy Snyder.       
Saturday 1150P (850P Pacific Time): continued.        
 
Saturday/Sun 1205A (905 Pacific Time):  continued.    
Saturday/Sun 1220A: (920 Pacific Time):  continued.    
Saturday/Sun 1235A: (935P Pacific Time):  Driving on the Rim by Thomas McGuane.      
Saturday/Sun 1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.

bloodlands2.jpg
Sunday 12 December 2010
 
Sunday  905P Eastern Time:  Jodi Schneider,  , and Mona Charen, NRO, in re:  Pres Obama suddenly invites Pres Clinton to sell the the tax accommodation/bill - that is, Axelrod invited Clinton to the WH to discuss 2012; then Pres Obama suddenly invited Clinton, with no preparation or advance warning, to join him in speaking to the press about the tax bill - gets him in front of the press and walks offstage. Curious. Pres Obama swiftly abandons Clinton, then Gibbs, the WH spokesman, tries to shoehorn Clinton off the stage and fails. Pres Obama's tax bill is "George Bush's greatest domestic accomplishment."
Sunday 920P Eastern Time:  continued; exemption? House can blame the Senate. Krauthammer says the extension of the jobless claims and the low-percentage payroll tax constitute another stimulus bill, a ploy for Pres Obama to get re-elected.
Sunday 935P Eastern Time:  Henry Miller, Hoover, in re: 
Sunday 950P Eastern Time:  John Loftus, Esq, author: America's Nazi Secrets, in re: WikiLeaks report. Mikola Lebed [pron: lyeh-bed], highest Ukrainian Nazi war criminal.  Truman had two CIAs: OPC, working for Dulles, and the regular CIA.  In 1952, Ike elected; Dulles brothers (esp Allen) then take over CIA for keeps.  Lebed was one of his agents; Dulles even prevailed on State to bring in Lebed's lieutenants, the dregs of Ukrainian mass-killer intell.  . . .  and on from there. Ghastly tale.  Lebed now thought to be the longest ranking Soviet agent to penetrate CIA.  Allen Dulles didn't care; his central goal was to conceal the role his old corporate clients in funding the rise and continuation of Hitler. Dept of Justice definitely knew.
 
Sunday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  John Fund, WSJ, and John Avlon, CNN and The Daily Beast, in re: 
Sunday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  continued. Seventy-two hour waiting period: after the final version of a bill is drafted, Members have at least 72 hours in which to read it before it's taken to the floor--but not here, not now.
Sunday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Jim McTague, Barron's; Larry Johnson, No Quarter blog, and Jeff Bliss, The Bliss Index, in re: Holbrooke's grave health condition. Assange doesn't know enough to avoid doing massive damage in WikiLeaks releases.  Some of the cables are worth looking at, esp Britain's charade in releasing the Libyan bomber on fraudulent pretext.  China's 5% inflation: will raise retail prices in the US (Wal-Mart, Cosco); two of Jim's friends at dinner, just back from China, expect it to have a financial meltdown within a decade, at latest. Seven hundred people laid off in South Bend. Corporate collapses to come - creative destruction. "By the end of 2011, things will look a bit better." California hasn't yet left the Union. Gov-elect Brown turning Sacramento into "a wonk town."   Bush tax-cut deal: neither side will give up the public theater that's part of DC politics. Pres Obama lost a major opportunity to look presidential. Eighty-five Republican freshmen in town; having the equivalent of an AA meeting to keep themselves from spending; are refreshingly naive; two years from now will be co-opted.  Then: Pres Obama and Pres Clinton at the hurriedly-assembled press conference with the mysterious and amusing denouement; Mark Madoff's suicide; Nixon's tapes show him to be the racist (vs Irishmen, Jews, Blacks) everyone thought he was; the retail numbers; PIMCO drops down a small chasm.
Sunday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):   continued
 
Sunday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):  Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, and Bruce Bechtol, Angelo State and
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author, Defiant Failed State ["about the predator, North Korea, and its master, Beijing"], in re:  Adm Blair: ROK has beefed up rules of engagement; Min Defense will not rule out using airpower for any future counterstrike.  Finally, ROK citizens are together reaching a consensus that DPRK is genuinely dangerous problem: DPRK may not take ROK president seriously, and will savagely strike again.   . . . Tides change by as much as 50 feet. A potentially truly dangerous situation in which each side appears to be miscalculating.  DPRK is building water-cooling systems for Burma (again confirmed by WikiLeaks), naked proliferation. Clear that it's a nuclear weaponization program. Best addressed through the Proliferation Security Agreement.  We need to check both ships and flights entering Burma, in conjunction with the 95 other members.  1990s Beijing decision to spread nukes around the world in order to distract the US at some future time when China might look like a belligerent to Washington.  Btw, the Syrian reactor taken out looked exactly like Yongbyon.  The Burmese facility is underground, may be a uranium plant. (Finally, North Korea asked US to set up Eric Clapton gig?)

"My father is Li Gang!"  (我爸是李刚 - wo fu chin Li Gang)
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Sunday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  Gordon Chang, in re: Depraved human monsters in DPRK and China starve and murder their own populace. Another, nonhuman monster, is galloping inflation. It's rising above 5% in China; and Chinese people spend half their income on food, being 11+% inflation on food.  Scares the cadres silly because it most damages poor people, who're likely to rally in the streets if it gets worse. Cadres are so fixated on growth that they keep avoiding doing anything about inflation.
The 16 October incident of a young drunk driver's killing a pedestrian has created a new phrase known throughout the Chinese internet.  News story:  When he was eventually stopped by security guards and angry students, Li Qi-ming showed no remorse. In fact, he taunted  them, challenging them to take him to court if they thought they could. "My father is Li Gang," he said, flouting the law with his father's status as a senior police official. This enraged the entire Chinese populace.  Now, when Chinese people don't want to do something, like take out the garbage, they say "My father is Li Gang!"   (我爸是李刚).
..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..
Wikipedia:  Four days after the incident, an online poetry contest invited entrants to incorporate the sentence "My father is Li Gang" (我爸是李刚) into classical Chinese poems. The contest was created by a female blogger in northern China nicknamed Piggy Feet Beta on MOP, a popular Chinese Bulletin Board System, and received more than 6,000 submissions. The phrase has since become a popular internet catchphrase and meme within China, frequently seen on various forums and message boards, and in similar competitions using ad slogans and song lyrics, and used ironically in conversation by speakers trying to avoid responsibility. An artist in Chongqing created an installation based on the phrase.
..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..

Sunday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):  Malcolm Hoenlein, Conference of Presidents, in re: BBC: "Hillary CLinton frustrated at setbacks to Israeli-Palestinian peace talks" - because the PA has no intention of actually achieving any progress. Fatah Revolutionary Council (legislative council disbanded last year; Pres Abbas's term ran out two years ago).  Secy Clinton came out clearly against unilateral steps (to recognize Palestine as a state ).  Prince Naif, the apparent successor to Abdallah of Saudi Arabia, is unlikely to grow too intimate with China, which is known to be sponsoring Iran.
Sunday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  Robert Zimmerman, behindtheblack.com, in re: Did climate change drive prehistoric culture change? Falcon. Active vulcanism on Venus. Car runs on air.
..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..
. . . The team found that nearly all of the transitions between one cultural period and the next occurred at times of ecological and environmental changes. Thus the Paleoindian period, 13,500 to 11,250 years ago, was characterized by the presence of cold-adapted plants such as sedges and spruce and pine trees; the so-called Early Archaic period, 11,250 to 8200 years ago and corresponding to warmer climes, saw a decrease in pine and an increase in oak trees; and 8200 years ago, when another, short cold spell hit much of the world, prehistoric humans underwent another cultural shift known as the Middle Archaic period. The Late Archaic, beginning 5250 years ago, and the Woodland period 3000 years ago were accompanied by yet more climate and vegetation shifts, Munoz and his colleagues report online today in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
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PaleoIndian period, mammoth
..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..
 
Sunday/Mon 1205A (905 Pacific Time):   Arif Rafiq, Pakistan Policy blog, in re: 
Sunday/Mon 1220A: (920 Pacific Time):  David Henderson, Hoover, in re: Stimulus 1 and Stimulus 2, how they work for non-Keynesians
Sunday/Mon 1235A: (935P Pacific Time):  Mark Feldstein, author, Poisoning the Press
Sunday/Mon 1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.







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Friday 10 December 2010

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Friday 10 December 2010 

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Friday 905P Eastern Time: Joseph Brusuelas, Bloomberg senior economic analyst, in re: •U.S. Consumer Confidence Climbs to a Six-Month High, Benefiting Retailers  •Treasuries Drop, S&P 500 Index Gains as U.S. Economic Data Beat Forecasts  •Jobless Rate May Decline Below 9% Over Next Year, Trennert Says: Tom Keene 
      "The proposed favourable change to the tax treatment of capital expenditure raises the question of whether it will actually be businesses, rather than consumers, that rescue the economy from a number of years of subdued growth. However, while some further improvement in investment spending is likely, businesses still aren't superhero material."
Friday 920P Eastern Time:  Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, in re: Nobel Peace Prize
(left) Antonio DamasioSelf Comes to Mind: neuroscientist explains consciousness 

Friday 935P Eastern Time: Jeff Bliss, The Bliss Index, in re: Ronnie Chasen murder investigation 
Friday 950P Eastern Time:  John Cochrane, University of Chicago, in re: trouble with the euro is coming our way
 
Friday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Sebastian Gorka, FDD, in re: soft jihad as hired by Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; as the king lies failing.


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Friday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  John Loftus, Esq, author, America's Nazi Secrets, in re: WikiLeaks, Julian Assange arrest imminent under the 1917 Espionage Act.
Friday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Rufus Phillips, author, and Arif Rafiq, Pakistan Policy blog, in re: Wikileaks and Pakistan, and Afghanistan; Richard Holbrooke weakens. 
Friday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):  continued re Assange arrest imminent
 
Friday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):  Michael Vlahos, Naval War College, in re: wealth gap and a tale of two cities, London and Washington. 
Friday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  continued, re FDR March 4, 1933, inaugural speech, "Fear Itself."
Friday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):  Michael Barbaro, NYT, in re: Bloomberg for president?
Friday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  Ramit Sethi, author,  I Will Teach You To Be Rich  
 
(right, above) Consciousness: Tibetan tanka
Friday/Sat 1205A (905 Pacific Time):  Peter Lattman, NYT, in re: Madoff trustee sues Austrian banker to recover $19.5 billion

(below) Consciousness: vajra, a Tibetan tool which, 
used accurately, reveals with exceptional clarity 
information about the nature of consciousness
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Friday/Sat  1220A (920 Pacific Time): Emily Heil, Roll Call, in re: jobs for Hill staffers of defeated Congressmen
Friday/Sat  1235A (935P Pacific Time):  Antonio Damasio, author, Self Comes to Mind: Constructing the Conscious Brain
Friday/Sat  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt



(below) Consciousness: Holistic (H) E8 Vector Visualisation in String Theory (Q+R) like the 1,000 Petal Sahasrara Lotus in Spirituality
Holistic (H) E8 Vector Visualisation in String Theory.jpg

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Thursday 9 December 2010

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Thursday 905P Eastern Time:  Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, in re: Liu Xiao-bo will be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in absentia. The unelected tyrants of Beijing react with rage and hysteria, demanding that their minions around the world not attend the ceremony in Oslo, nineteen of whom have acceded.  Meanwhile, the Speaker of the House, Mrs Nancy Pelosi, is even now on a plane to Norway to represent the American people, all of whom applaud the bravery and intelligence of Liu Xiao-bo and endorse Mrs Pelosi's excellent deed.
Thursday 920P Eastern Time:  John Loftus, Esq, author, in re:     Ukraine ships antique. Soviet T-72 tanks to Southern Sudan in advance of January referendum on dividing into two countries. Burma: has a secret nuclear facility built by North Korea - as probably do Venezuela, Zimbabwe, and very likely Sudan.  This is consonant with a decision taken in the early 1990s by the Chinese Politburo to disperse nuclear capability around the word specifically to divide the attention of the United States (then the global hegemon) lest it focus too harshly on CHina and its expanding nuclear weapons capacity; also to give US targetting too many foci: Burma, Caracas, Nigeria, Bolivia
Thursday 935P Eastern Time:  David Drucker, Roll Call, in re: the work of the lame-duck session in the Senate. DADT: gone. Dream Act: probably gone. Cloture for the president's version of the tax-cut bill is scheduled for 3PM Monday. ALso have to do the government funding bill or the whole government shuts down on Dec 18; ergo, not enough time to cover the New Start treaty.
Thursday 950P Eastern Time:  
 
Thursday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Malcolm Hoenlein, in re: Pres Obama dropped pressing Israel on Jerusalem building, and on settlements.  F-35s. Palestinians maintained total demand, which the administration decided was unrealistic.  President switched to talks in Washington, with the US saying it wants to focus on "substantive issues" and borders.  The PA has been endeavoring to sabotage the talks in order to continue fundraising.    Pres Abbas is not leagally permitted to be in the talks; also, Fatah voted to oppose talks till every nail of building is ceased, and would not negotiate a  land swap.  Lula said Argentina would recognize Palestine as a country having pre-67 borders, as then did all the Chavezistas in South America.  Iran is about to take over as chairman of _____.  Argentina is virtually a vassal of Venezuela; its economy is broken and Mrs Kirchner seems to be for sale.
Thursday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): Brad Sherman (CA-27), in re: Iranian nuclear capability; recalcitrance of the mullahs; DPRK.  Iran grows closer to having nuclear weapons every day, and therefore grows more militarily powerful;. Had we started a decade ago, we'd have had tine to use sanctions slowly; now, we have little time left. Iran has enough uranium ore for a bomb program but not for energy provision.  Parading weapons is the viagra of tyrants.  China: I've introduced legislation to do the only thing they'll understand: take away their Most Favored Nation Status.  Currently, China is fully supporting North Korea, buying oil from Iran, and so on.  
 
Thursday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Malcolm Hoenlein, in re: 
Thursday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):  Prof. Xu Xin, Director of the Glazer Institute for Jewish Studies, Nanjing University, in re: How Jews and Israel are perceived in China. Western Society is built on two pillars: Greco-Roman, and Judeo-Christian.  Much interest among Chinese grad students; there are in all a few thousand studying relevant courses, and a print run of 5,000 per year of the main text. In the 1920s and 30s, Japanese or European books translated into Chinese contained anti-Jewish thoughts, but there's no indigenous such sentiment.   Aat the beginning of WWII 20,000 Jews lived in northern China, then another 20,000 came as refugees.  Now there about 10,00 Jews (a wholly different group) who are expats from various countries.  We've heard the story that perhaps one of the Lost Tribes of Israel moved from Mongolia to Tibet and became the Chang tribe of the northwest - speculating that because they called father abba or ima - but it's a bit doubtful, seems to be an uncorroborated myth.
Thursday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):  Maj. Gen. (ret) Yaakov Amidror, program dir, Inst for Contemporary Affairs, Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs, in re: Iran; defensible borders.  Turkey represents a major shift in the Middle East; in effect, resurgence of the Ottoman Empire.   The sanctions are having a fiscal impact on Iran, but of course they don't care if they lose some money.  There is not even one hint that Syrians care to break their link with Iran, but that's entirely wishful thinking.  Damascus is fully informed that Hizbollah is excessively rearmed and the US State Dept knows this.  State's open hand to Damascus is naivete and wishful thinking. Syrians want to be sure that they control what occurs in Lebanon and want to hint to Iranians to be a bit careful.   The Hariri investigation? At the end of the day, I believe nothing will happen; at the end of the day, everyone will sacrifice some of his pride and nothing will happen.   
Thursday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  Malcolm Hoenlein, in re: study shows that 74% of Muslims in the West Bank don't care for Hizbollah, and most detest suicide bombing.  Parents have begun to pay more attention; certainly, the payments to bereaved families are not a main factor. Reuters, AP, AFP: how Israel is portrayed in images, a profl photog reviewed 13,000 photos , saw astounding staging, unusual lens work, excruciating angles of shooting - reminiscent of whEn 900 reuters photos had to be removed because they'd been so doctored. Stringers acting alone, or Reuters command and control? Looks deliberate to demonize Israel by the way these pix were staged.
Thursday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):   Bob Zimmerman, behindtheblack.com, in re: Japan's Akatsuki mission misses Venus, was to study the planet's weather 
Thursday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):   Russell Berman, The Hill, in re: Democratic caucus revolt from tax cut deal
 
Thursday/Fri 1205A (905 Pacific Time):  Dan Henninger, WSJ, in re: Grapes of Wrath Democrats
Thursday/Fri  1220A (920 Pacific Time):  Michael Slackman
Thursday/Fri  1235A (935P Pacific Time):  Fouad Ajami, Hoover, House of Saud succession
Thursday/Fri  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.

 


Wednesday 8 December 2010

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Co-host: Gordon Chang, Forbes.com

Wednesday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time):  Matt Gertkin, Stratfor.com, in re:  China's intimate connections with North Korea, dwindling economic prospects as the West diminishes it massive consumer purchasing, and China's own significant generational change of top leaders - even as China sees the US as using a containment policy against it; all together, much strain.
Wednesday 920P Eastern Time (620P Pacific Time): Marc Morano, climatedepot.com, in re: Cancun climate conference: developed world not to cut any of its own forests?  All countries promising to devote 1.5% of their GDP to an amorphous UN-run climate organization of some ilk?  China is a master polluter as it discusses greenhouse gasses.  Tom Friedman lauding China's wonderful green policies.  Unhappily, China is committed to carbon-based energy (has large stocks of lignite, not hard coal, and lignite burns extremely dirty).  
Wednesday 935P Eastern Time (635P Pacific Time): Hotel California: Devin Nunes (CA-21) and Bill Whalen, Hoover and NRO, in re: state's division in to inland and coastal.  The California Politburo of old, authoritarian leaders won't let go. Central Valley residents call their region the Alamo. 
Wednesday 950P Eastern Time (650P Pacific Time): Ari Berman,  The Nation, in re: Democratic base turns against Pres Obama
 
Wednesday 1005P Eastern  (705P Pacific Time): Evan Ramstad, WSJ Asia, in re: U.S. steps up its push on Korean crisis:  U.S. secretary of state said after a meeting with her counterparts from South Korea and Japan that talks with North Korea can't resume until Pyongyang ceases "its provocative behavior." 
Wednesday 1020P Eastern (720P Pacific Time):  Kori Schake, Hoover, and former member NSC, in re: WikiLeaks - espionage or freedom?  Also, veil lifted on China's next top duo; leaked U.S. dip cables shed rare light on the personalities of Xi Jin-ping and Li Ke-qiang. DPRK has killed South Korean civilians in an act of war in the last few weeks; not clear why - may be an effort to show that the new Kim endeavors to ward off internal challenges to his just-acquired power. 
Wednesday 1035P Eastern  (735P Pacific Time):  John Loftus, Esq, author of America's Nazi Secrets, defense analyst, and occasional writer for Mishpukhe, an Israeli magazine, in re: WikiLeaks report. Al Magrahi, Lockerbie bomber, released as "an act of mercy" because he was "dying of cancer." Ha.  UK pressured the Scottish government to release Magrahi so  Muammar Gadaffi wouldn't withdraw oil from the UK; then the US ambassador , Gene Cretz, said in a cable that the US should keep mum rather than risk having Gadaffi turn against US oil and gas.  A dirty deal.  State's attitude toward China and North Korea: abject and cloying.  Meanwhile, DOD points out that China has total control of DPRK (e.g., China runs all oil pipelines into DPRK, can close any or all in a moment). Beijing-Pyongyang-Islamabad-Teheran-Damascus.  JL: possible that China could become a military dictatorship in a few short years. Do WL docs show at least that State is aware of China as an aggressor? Yes: a cable from an African mission called China an aggressive economic predator in Africa.
Wednesday 1050P Eastern (750P Pacific Time):  Hugo Restall, WSJ Asia, in re: Cables discuss vast hacking
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by a China that fears the Web - China has engaged in attacks aimed at American military and political data, and its leaders have been obsessed with Google's role in China, cables say.  Also,  backstory to the Confucius Peace Prize, which is supposed to be awarded in a few hours:  Lien Chan (a failed Taiwanese pol, Pan Blue, formet head of KMT, richest political party on Earth, and favoring selling "the Little Island" directly to the unelected leaders of Beijing), the winner, will not accept it, according to sources in Taiwan.  One suspects Beijing will lean on him, however.   The Confucius prize is not being publicized in domestic or Taiwanese media for fear of angering Liu Xiao-bo's many supporters - so the whole Confucius prize thing is aimed only at foreign audiences.  http://edition.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/asiapcf/12/08/chi na.confucius.prize/index.html?eref=edition 

(above) Mainland Chinese pollution  
(photo, below) Wolfe-Simon at Mono Lake, pulling a tube of mud from which to start microbial cultures in the lab.
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Wednesday 1105P  Eastern (805P Pacific Time):  James Taranto, WSJ, in re: Obama decision and hostage video
Wednesday 1120P Eastern (820P Pacific Time): Bret Stephens, WSJ, North Korea China and WikiLeaks  
Wednesday 1135P Eastern  (835P Pacific Time):  Charles Pellegrino, author, and Roy Cullimore, Canadian microbiologist, in re: arsenic in Lake Mono; arsenic in DNA in place of phosphorus?
Wednesday 1150P Eastern  (850P Pacific Time):   Mary O'Grady, WSJ, in re: Haiti's troubled election

Wednesday/Thurs 1205A  Eastern (905 Pacific Time): Brian Stelter, NYT, in re: Parker Spitzer troubles at CNN
Wednesday/Thurs  1220A Eastern (920 Pacific Time):  Mark Schroeder, Stratfor.com, in re: election struggles in Cote d'Ivoire
 Alassane Dramane Ouattara vs. Laurent Gbagbo
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Wednesday/Thurs  1235A  Eastern (935P Pacific Time):  Aaron Klein, WABC radio, in re: Pres Obama and West Bank settlements; Wiki and Syria
Wednesday/Thurs  1250A  Eastern (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.



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Tuesday 7 December 2010

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Bank leverage - see 10:05 PM EST, Anat Admati
"Give me a place to stand and a lever long enough and I will move the world." --Archimedes
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Co-host: Larry Kudlow, of Kudlow & Co on CNBC, and WABC radio

Tuesday 905P Eastern Time:   Paul Dales, Capital Economics, in re: 
Tuesday 920P Eastern Time:  Lara Brown, Villanova, in re: 
Tuesday 935P Eastern Time:  Victor Davis Hanson, classicist; California State University, Fresno, and National Review Online; and Lara Brown, in re: President departs scripts.  European social model is ossified.  "Obama and his EU counterparts are learning that high-minded adolescence makes for bad governance. But it's an expensive lesson . . . "; "Now, one can argue that the seeds of the present Democratic desire for an imposed equality of result, embraced by a Howard Dean or Nancy Pelosi, is but the logical evolution from the old Democratic square deal. But there is a difference . . . "
Tuesday 950P Eastern Time:  David Drucker, Roll Call, in re:  Speaker Pelosi sets herself on fire. "The prospects of the Senate considering the new Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty during the lame-duck session are growing increasingly dim, Majority Whip Dick Durbin(D-Ill.) said Monday. President Barack Obama signed the treaty with Russia earlier this year and has made Senate ratification of the document his top foreign policy priority before the sun sets on the 111th Congress. But Durbin conceded that Republican resistance could push the ratification debate to next year, despite Majority Leader Harry Reid (Nev.) insisting that it remains on the Democrats' list of items to address before Christmas "

Tuesday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Anat Admati, Professor of Finance and Economics, Stanford, in re: "What Jamie Dimon Won't Tell You: His Big Bank Would Be Dangerously Leveraged": "The business of banking does mean that banks cannot be funded completely with equity as Apple or Gap, because demand deposits and even money market funds and certificates of deposit are part of their business of financial intermediation. Thus, a certain amount of debt is built into banks' balance sheet. But this does not imply that banks' leverage must be as high as it is or as they would like it to be or even as high as Basel III would allow." Dynamism in leverage: equity holders sometimes don't want to come in ("debt overhang problem") - every time the company pays out, icl dividend, that lowers equity and the bank is more highly leveraged. Dodd-Frank bill doesn't help at all; does not go to the heart of the problem. System gives banks perverse incentives. Bankers; "We cant stop ourselves. Someone will have to come inhere and do that for us."  The only two ways for excessive debt to be leveraged are: regulation, or failure.
Tuesday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):   John Fund, WSJ, in re:  All presidents concern themselves to some extent with being re-elected, but this one more than others, who's in effect saying to the House and Senate, "You're on your own, I'm saving my own skin."

Russian oil and gas pipelines
Rossiskaya Fyederatsiya.  East to Tomsk, Angarsk, north above Lake Baikal, then past Khabarovsk and south to Vladivostok.
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Tuesday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):   John Loftus, Esq., author of America's Nazi Secrets, in re: Julian Assange has found yet another way to draw attention to himself: has got himself arrested south of London.  The WikiLeaks report: British court denies bail to Assange in sex inquiry. List of facilities "vital to US security" leaked: Ningbo port in south-eastern China is one of the facilities on the US list.  Roadmap of site for al Qaeda to take out. All underwater cables that come together at the British shore.  A bare naked threat against anyone who threatens any damage to Assange; extortion. Also an oil and gas juncture in Russia that could be taken out with one stick of dynamite and so paralyze Asia.  Meanwhile, Israelis are grinning ear to ear as these show that all Arab states are demanding that Israel bomb Iran.  Docs on WMD show that there really was a huge WMD transfer across the border from Iraq to Syria, with rich quotation from one of Saddam's generals.  Trail of poisoning by nukes from DPRK to Pakistan to Iran.  US State Dept gave a wink and a nod to Pakistan to accept nukes. These docs complain eight years later that there's no way to interrupt the flow of funds form Saudis to terrorist.
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Main WikiLeaks so far:
Fears that terrorists may acquire Pakistani nuclear material 
Several Arab leaders urged attack on Iran over nuclear issue 
US instructs spying on key UN officials 
China's changing ties with North Korea 
Yemen approved US strikes on militants 
Personal and embarrassing comments on world leaders 
Afghan leader Hamid Karzai freed dangerous detainees 
Russia is a "virtual mafia state" with widespread corruption and bribery 
Afghan President Hamid Karzai is "paranoid and weak" 
The extent of corruption in Afghanistan 
Chinese leadership "hacked Google"
A list of key global facilities the US says are vital to its national security 
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"34-year-old Moscow lawyer Alexey Navalny could be nicknamed the "one-man Wikileaks". His website is dedicated to uncovering and publishing incidents of high-level corporate corruption, with revelations concerning Russian natural gas monopoly Gazprom, leading Russian oil company Rosneft and Russian bank VTP, among others."
"It subsequently was revealed that Baikal Finans was a group of Kremlin insiders headed  by Igor Sechin, Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration and close associate of  President Putin.  Sechin has been Chairman of Rosneft's board of directors since July 2004.  The de-facto nationalization of Yuganskneftegaz was declared "the fraud of the year" by  Andrei Illarionov, President Putin's chief economic advisor. [http://www.mosnews.com/  money/2004//12/28//illarionov.shtml]."
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Tuesday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):   Mary O'Grady, WSJ, in re: WikiLeaks and Argentine money-laundering. WL No. 1237: Is Argentina a laundromat for drug money? Much corruption, no transparency; cable of Dec 2009 shows that US embassy is aware of serious infractions of norma international rules on international financial transactions.  The Paris-based Financial Action Task Force went to Argentina for two weeks  (its director spent a year there) for a "peer review," which didn't see any will on part of Kirchner government to pursue drug money.
A secret U.S. Embassy cable sent from Buenos Aires a year ago bluntly describes Argentina as becoming awash in drug money due to lax prosecution of organized crime. The dispatch said the problem started with the president herself, who "stands to lose" by going after money launderers. The unvarnished language in the Dec. 1, 2009 cable - one of hundreds of thousands of documents exposed by the WikiLeaks website this week - made for banner headlines in Argentina's opposition newspapers Thursday. Other leaked U.S. diplomatic cables also have shown Argentina's leaders in . . .

Clinton worried about Argentine leader -WikiLeaks  2010-11-30 The Star LONDON (Reuters) - U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton questioned the mental health of Argentina's President Cristina Fernandez, asking U.S. diplomats to investigate whether she was under medication, leaked cables showed on Tuesday. Argentina's President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (L) shakes hands with....
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Tuesday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):   Bill Roggio, FDD, and Arif Rafiq, Pakistan Policy blog, in re: question: which is more fragile, Pakistan or Afghanistan?  See Baluchistan, assassination attempt vs the Chief Minister, a rare attempt by religious organization to attack an official. Ethnic Baloch population resent the Pakistan overlordship, but today's was from the Pashtun insurgency.  This group: most minimal respect for human life, real lust for blood.  Suleman turned himself in as having held a gun to a woman's head while his sons cut off her nose; then he proudly showed her nose around the village. This is the fertile ground from which the Taliban draws. Heroine in Pakistan, our US ambassador there, Ann Paterson. Her reporting to Washington wrote in a blunt and analytical manner, calling it as it was. Also a good troubleshooter, managed Pakistan through six or seven major crises.
Tuesday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  Tom Keene, Bloomberg, in re: Bush tax cuts, quantitative easing, the US recovery.  $1.5 trillion in quantitative easing + tax breaks. Gold at $1429 today. Implied inflation, most overt in China.  Economists worry about inflation, including wage declines.
Tuesday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):   Bob Zimmerman, behindtheblack.com, in re:  the sad fate of the first 747 ever built.  The Japanese probe Akatsuka's attempt to get into Venus orbit.  Falcon 9 postponed to Thursday because of (get this!) cracks in its nozzles. The annual Geminid meteor shower peaks this year on Dec. 13th and 14th. Researchers don't fully understand the Geminids, and new measurements, they say, make it more mysterious than ever. Also: Did climate change drive prehistoric culture change? Early Americans may have dramatically altered their lifestyles in response to new weather patterns.
Tuesday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):   Timothy Egan, NYT, in re: What's the narrative of the Obama administration?
 
Tuesday/Wed 1205A (905 Pacific Time):   Bill McGurn, WSJ, in re: Obama and meeting with dissidents
Tuesday/Wed  1220A (920 Pacific Time):   Steven Erlanger, NYT, in re: Iranian nuclear talks in Geneva
Tuesday/Wed  1235A (935P Pacific Time):   Matt Richtel, NYT, in re: identity theft and the military
Tuesday/Wed  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt: Inspector Bliss on the Ronnie Chasen murder.

 

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Monday 6 December 2010

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Co-host: John Avlon, CNN and The Daily Beast

Monday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time):   Louise Story, NYT, in re:   Bush tax cuts from the perspective of Wall Street
Monday 920P Eastern Time (620P Pacific Time):   Alex Wagner, PoliticsDaily, in re:  Bush tax cuts from the perspective of the White House
Monday 935P Eastern Time (635P Pacific Time):   David Drucker, Roll Call, in re:  Bush tax cuts from the perspective of the Senate
Monday 950P Eastern Time (650P Pacific Time):   John Avlon, in re: possibly decision to rush this because the president thought that if  he broke the story he could determine the direction of the debate. The result seems t be chaos: both Democrats and Republicans threatening to bolt.  Free-fire zone for the next twenty-four hours.
 
Monday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):   Sudeep Reddy, WSJ, in re:   Ben Bernanke's pledge "100%" that he can prevent inflation.    
Monday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):   Taegan Goddard, Political Wire, in re:  Federal taxes are at their lowest in sixty years. The president's announcement this afternoon that there's a "framework" extant between him and ht Republicans concerning the tax cuts:  looks as though his own party is highly unhappy.  Anthony Weiner is ripping the president, said, "He'd better hope that Sarah Palin runs in 2012."    Will Huckabee run?  He'd be the undisputed frontrunner in lead-off Iowa, where he won by nine points in 2008. He'd be the candidate to beat in South Carolina, which he narrowly lost to John McCain two years ago.  Gingrich leans toward presidential bid.  Hal Rogers, the king of pork in Kentucky, is first in line to head the House Appropriations Committee.
Monday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):   Salena Zito, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, in re:  adieu, Gov Ed Rendell: no interest on ether side from/with the Obama administration; will probably have a program on Fox or CNBC.  He's excellent on television, being passionate and unpredictable. The pure progressives (e.g., FiredogLake and DailyKos readers & participants) explain why they're behind things: all their posts are completely disappointed with the direction Pres Obama has taken.  FiredogLake: "Pres Bush - oops, strike out - Obama agrees to renewal of Bush tax cuts." Bob Casey had a long talk with the president in his limo: What we really need is tax cuts, if necessary for everybody and for two years.  Jason Altmire (PA-4) will be as brilliant as he's been for the past two years, will not get tangled up in the presidential elections; "It's ugly in Washington," he said.
Monday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):   Bill Roggio, FDD, and Arif Rafiq, Pakistan Policy blog, in re: Suicide blasts strike tribal Pakistan, appeared aimed at the civilian government headquarters in a tribal region in northwestern Pakistan. 
 
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Monday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):   Paul R. Gregory, Hoover Institution, and author, Politics, Murder and Love in Stalin's Kremlin: the Story of Nikolai Bukharin and Anna Larina, in re: Putin, Russian democracy and WikiLeaks - It will take years for the United States to restore its image as a trustworthy diplomatic partner. US diplomacy has suffered a severe setback and its national security has been damaged by the WikiLeak dumps of classified documents. WikiGossip: Putin is enraged that dip gossip worldwide refers to the Keemlin, esp Putin, ais the top if a Russian maffiya. Everyone knows that the Russian state is corrupt from top to bottom - but it's dangerous to say it our loud.  His personal corruption: he's probably worth $40-60 bil (range of Carlos Slim, above Gates and Buffet). Much of this is secretly held in Gazprom, also in a Swiss intermediate company..  WikiLeaks also show Russia to be an unreliable partner. Putin's mafia clan, in the words of a Spanish dip, gathers money while citizen suffer continual insecurity and deprivation. Putin apparently tried to negotiate a safe retirement for himself at the end of his term, but failed; therefore, he must be czar because you can't steal that much money without bring danger on your head.  By contrast, Chinese people see local corruption but think their national leaders are honest. Russians see corruption all around but some thought the top of the state was clean.  The Kremlin kleptocracy has become the mafia. Germany and Italy are quite dependent on Russian natural gas; the English have good evidence that the Kremlin poisoned Litvenenko on their own soil and are uneasy about dealings with Russia.
Monday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):   John Bolton, AEI, in re: WikiLeaks is damaging the US, must be stopped 
Monday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):   Steve Lahr, NYT, in re:  GE recovers from the black hole of GE Financial 
Monday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):   Kim Strassel, WSJ, in re:   negotiation on the Bush tax cuts; Obama reverses campaign promise on taxes
 
Monday/Tues 1205A (905 Pacific Time):   John Burns, NYT, in re:  Assange will be detained  
Monday/Tues  1220A (920 Pacific Time):   Eric Wasson, The Hill, in re:  what is the fate of the deficit commission?    
Monday/Tues  1235A (935P Pacific Time):   Adam Nossiter, NYT,  in re: two presidents in Ivory Coast, bad news
Monday/Tues  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.  

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Saturday 4 and Sunday 5 December 2010

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(photo, above) The narcissist Assange


Saturday 4 December 2010


Guest-host: Simon Constable, WSJ Market Watch

Co-host: Camilla Webster, Forbes


Saturday 905P Eastern Time:   Simon Constable and Camilla Webster in re: UK students' rioting over proposed huge increases in university tuition       

Saturday 920P Eastern Time:  Chris Brownfield, author of My Nuclear Family, in re: don't ask/don't tell       

Saturday 935P Eastern Time:    Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, in re: North Korea. Both the NOrth Koreans and the South Koreans are miscalculating. The DPRK's shelling leading to two deaths probably pushed the South Korean electorate past a turning point. Meanwhile, the DPRK generals consider the ROK to be feckless and so may decide to do something harsh.    The worst possible scenario might be general war in East Asia; not likely, burt can't be ruled out. (US has a mutual defense treaty with ROK; China has backed DPRK for decades. Remember that in 1950, China did push the US back down the Korean peninsula.  Need to close down the Ke Sang Industrial Zone on the border - 120 South Korean companies employing 40K North Korean workers; ROK thus is pumping millions of dollars into the pockets of the DPRK leadership. DPRK is thereby using South Korean money to torpedo South Korean boats and shell South Korean islands. Sec Clinton meeting with Japanese and South Korean ministers to continue Six-Party Talks - a poor idea, as talking will solve nothing at this specific moment. Need to put carriers in the Yellow Sea, enforce tough economic sanctions. Kim Jong-il probably can incinerate Los Angeles in about five years, then Washington in another few.  We're drifting toward war because US policies are not tailored to dealing with the current situation, as we elevated integrating China into the international system above neutralizing the extreme threat of North Korea.

Saturday 950P Eastern Time:    Jeff Bliss, The Bliss Index, in re: California politics, and the high-speed spendathon on a high-speed rail whose costs, negative environmental impact and ticket costs will be much higher than vaunted.  Huge boondoggle.  Some states have decided to cancel rail projects, including Chris Christie in New Jersey; Cal politicians are now begging for those funds.  

 

Saturday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Dennis Overbye, NYT, in re: Arsenic-based life form. NASA'a astrobiology unit: woman scraped  up some mud from the bottom of a lake, had phosphorus in it, and arsenic is chemically similar.   Researcher began to grow microbes from the lake mud, force-fed them arsenic and the bacteria kept growing happily. 

Saturday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  Steve Russolillo, Dow Jones Newswire, and Joseph Brusuelas, Bloomberg senior economic analyst, in re:  how dire, depressing, appalling, was  the jobs number?  Lots.   The report was a bit misleading: said we lost jobs in retail, although in fact we've added some on a month-on-month  basis. However, we have a structural unemployment rate, realistically should be 10.4%. Thirty million people unemployed, one in every three households.  Heading to 11% at the end of 2011.  The Greater American Recovery will be characterized by a shift from individual consumption to finished goods sold abroad plus foreign investment here. Will favor educated people. increasing income-inequality (unemployable will be mfrg, construction, middle managers - the broad American middle class).  Bad news for the economy meaning good news for the market suggests that the Fed will keep printing money; also that there's more pressure on the Obama administration to continue the Bush tax cuts.

Saturday 1035P (735P Pacific Time): Mickey Kaus, Newsweek, and Lou Ann Hammond, drivingthenation.com, in re: Who knows how GM cooked the books to make way for the IPO?  The future is largely in China. Governmental interference in GM operations has not boded well. GM would do well to make Buicks in China and sell them in the US - although that'd be unpleasant for American workers. US-ROK trade deal: Hyundae is highly pleased; Korea will cut its auto  import tax from 8% to 4%

. GM and GM/China will go into India together.

Saturday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):  David Sanger, NYT, in re: WikiLeaks.  If State thinks their remarks and reports may leak, they'll be a less candid in their words. We notified State what we intended to publish: we left out the names of  dissidents who'd be punished; the names of intell sources, of references to ongoing operations. We drew the line and parted company from State in our decision to leave in things that were merely embarrassing.       

 

Saturday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):   Larry Johnson, No Quarter blog, in re:       

Saturday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):   Lauren Goode, WSJ The Digital Show, in re: techland: the war around how you'll watch TV in the future - on your computer screen?      

Saturday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):   Charles Seife, author, Proofiness.    [Using mathematics to prove something that may not be true.]  

Saturday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  Joseph Sternberg, WSJ Asia, in re; the South Korea-US trade deal just signed.  Cars and cows problems overcome.  The number of US-made cars sold in ROK is smaller than 10K PA.  US adds 2% tariff to imported cars, ROK used to charge 8%.  Overall, this is still a very good deal for both sides: it'll offer a significant boost to a U.S. economy still trying to find its way in the recovery. And as a strategic matter, it deepens our relationship with Seoul at a troubled time on the Korean peninsula, while boosting the South's economy, which is also strategically important.   On the other hand, it was already an excellent deal when it was signed in 2007. The Obama Administration will trumpet some progress on technical barriers to trade that Koreans impose on imported cars, but the cost is slowing down Korea's reduction on tariffs, so the European Union will enjoy lower tariffs on their car exports to Korea for several years. The Koreans also insisted on slowing down their tariff reductions for other products, like pork. Btw, America also slows its tariff reduction timetable on autos, meaning American consumers will pay more for cars for longer.   Despite those caveats, the most important thing now is to ratify this deal in Congress as soon as possible. Republican leaders appear to be supportive, and prospects for passage are good, but Obama is still on the hook for trade leadership. The three-year saga of this deal shows that, without strong presidential leadership to make the case in public for free trade, parochial interests like Detroit will hijack the discussion. In this case Obama got lucky and was still able to conclude a deal. However, he could have spared himself, and the American economy, a lot of grief by speaking out strongly in favor of KORUS a lot sooner.

 

Saturday/Sun 1205A (905 Pacific Time):  Andy Greenberg, Forbes, in re; WikiLeaks       

Saturday/Sun 1220A: (920 Pacific Time):  continued  

Saturday/Sun 1235A: (935P Pacific Time):   Bruce Bechtol, Jr., Angelo State, in re: WikiLeaks material on North Korea has been inaccurately analyzed by major papers, including the New York Times and WaPo.

Saturday/Sun 1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt.

 

 

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 Sunday 5 December 2010

 

Sunday  905P Eastern Time: Mona Charen, National Review Online , in re: tax cuts and the state of the nation

Sunday 920P Eastern Time:  Mona Charen and Aaron Task, Yahoo Tech Ticker, in re: state of the nation, Friday's disastrous jobs number; "Sure, everything's fine. No economic problems in Europe and the US market is fine . . . "

Sunday 935P Eastern Time:  Arif Rafiq, Pakistan Policy blog, in re:  WikiLeaks and Pakistan; Kiyani, Gilani, Zardari

Sunday 950P Eastern Time:  David Drucker, Roll Call, in re: Bush tax cuts, new START treaty, 

 

Sunday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Jodi Schneider, Bloomberg, and John Avlon, CNN and The Daily Beast, in re:  Obama says tax cut extension must include jobless benefits, credit plans.  The U.S. Senate defeated two attempts by Democrats to extend the Bush-era tax cuts for the middle classes permanently. After the votes, President Obama told Democratic congressional leaders he would be open to a temporary extension of the Bush-era tax cuts for the affluent, but he would demand concessions from the GOP.

Sunday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  continued. The jobs number.

Sunday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Larry Johnson, No Quarter blog, and Jim McTague, Barron's, in re: the WikiLeaks cables suggest that President Obama's diplomacy is a mixture of openness to negotiation, constantly escalating pressure and a series of deadlines.  US needs 3.5% GDP growth annually; 3% won't do it. We've transferring our wealth into the hands of bankers because, among other things, it's a jobs program for lawyers. We need to reduce and cut out departments in Washington - Education gets a failing grade and it probably should be closed. Interior has too broad a mandate. Cutting deficits: many of the proposals the Obama commission put forth have been heard before. It's time for action, not more discussion.  The White House and Defense Department ordered employees not to read the WikiLeaks cables.

Sunday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):  Jeff Bliss, The Bliss Index, in re: California's solar-panel manufacturing sector largely driven out of business by Chinese funding of its own industry;  the Ronnie Chasen murder; 

 

Sunday 1105P (805P Pacific Time):  Sadanand Dhume, author, and Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, in re: Dragging India out of the muck: convoluted bureaucracy provides fertile soil for corruption, but strong, credible institutions could still help. India has a rapid growth rate as its dynamism was bottled up under a socialist regime and now is free to be creative   Forty-billion-dollar corruption scandal at present. Unrealistic campaign financing laws; no transparency.  A culture of shame, not guilt - politicians feel bad only if they're caught.  Similar to Tammany Hall.

Sunday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  Gordon Chang, and Joseph Sternberg, WSJ Asia, in re: U.S. cable: China ordered Google hack. Also: China's credit bubble on borrowed time as inflation bites - the Royal Bank of Scotland has advised clients to take out protection against the risk of a sovereign default by China as one of its top trade trades for 2011. Anew twist.  And: US-Korea trade agreement will offer a significant boost to a U.S. economy still trying to find its way in the recovery. And as a strategic matter, it deepens our relationship with Seoul at a troubled time on the Korean peninsula, while boosting the South's economy, which is also strategically important.

Sunday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):  Malcolm Hoenlein, Conference of Presidents, in re: fires in northern Israel and major international help rushed in; 

Sunday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  Bob Zimmerman, behindtheblack,com, in re: Tinkering with the atmosphere. Cancun talks about to collapse. WikiLeaks and climate politics. SpaceShipTwo had another successful test flight. Falcon 9 appears set for a test launch this week; the static fire test went well yesterday. The volcano caldara over Yellowstone has actually subsided in the last two years, after almost a half decade of growth. 

 

Sunday/Mon 1205A (905 Pacific Time):  Robert Service,  The Guardian (UK), in re: Putin and Medvedev, the Batman and Robin of a maffiya clan  

Sunday/Mon 1220A: (920 Pacific Time):  Charles Pellegrino, author, in re: arsenical astrobiology

Sunday/Mon 1235A: (935P Pacific Time):  Aaron Klein, WABC radio, in re: firefighting in Israel; WikiLeaks; imposing 1967 borders





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Friday 3 December 2010

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Credit default swaps: the platinum-cufflinks boys do a bailout


Friday 905P Eastern Time:   Joseph Brusuelas,  Senior economic analyst, Bloomberg, in re:  9.8% unemployment is a sort of political construction; the real unemployment rate is 10+.  As people stay unemployed for weeks and months, their work skills deteriorate. The underlying data in the report don't comport with an improved economy. In a few months, the numbers will be revised upward and look good. If you add 15K jobs/mo, that's enough to stabilize; need 200K job/mo to make a dent in unemployment. A 4, 5 or 6 % increase in GDP, familiar in the Twentieth Century, is not in the cards for 2011.  EU: smart guys think there's enough money tobail out Spain and Portugal. See also Austria: spreads (between Austrian bonds and German bonds) and Credit Default Swaps (which function as insurance) have increased sharply in recent weeks - hedgies at play - to force the Germans to decide if they'll bail out the ECB or not. Eastern European banks: exposed in Germany, France, 
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Switzerland, the UK. The house of cards that'll tumble that no one will speak about.
Friday 920P Eastern Time:  Therese Polleti, Marketwatch, in re: Steve Jobs called Bill Hewlett when he was twelve years old, the beginning of the HP-Apple relationship in Cupertino CA. 
Friday 935P Eastern Time: Mary O'Grady, WSJ, in re: Haitian elections; cholera, corruption, indifference
Friday 950P Eastern Time:  Caroline VanHesselt, DowJones, WSJ, in re: Canada lacks a leader's voice

(left) Toussaint Barbot, Haiti

 *   *   *
Friday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Sebastian Gorka, FDD, in re:  Gülenists -- for fifty years, we hoped that Turkey was the model for a secularist Muslim country; now we see this mysterious bachelor, Muhammed Fethullah Gülen, based in the US undermining the entire construct. His penetration in Turkey, alone, of the national media, or the military - even Jane's sees his organization as a state within a state. A new model of how skillfully over years to undermine the constitutional  operation of an entire state.  Similarly, the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt: use the democratic mechanism to take power, then never relinquish it.  In the  Gülen movement, however: "You must move in the arteries of the system without notice until you control the entire system."
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/04/world/middleeast/04wikileaks-yemen.html?_r=1&hp  3 Dec 2010  "Yemen Helps U.S. Fight Al Qaeda, on Its Own Terms"
Muhammed Fethullah Gülen is a Turkish preacher, author, and educator living in self-imposed exile in Saylorsburg, Pennsylvania (USA).
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The Gülen movement is a transnational civic society movement inspired by the teachings of Turkish Islamic theologian Muhammed Fethullah Gülen [in Saylorsburg, Pennsylvania]. His teachings about hizmet (altruistic service to the "common good") have attracted a large number of supporters in Turkey and Central Asia and increasingly in other parts of the world. The exact number of supporters of the Gülen movement is not known, as there is no membership system, but estimates vary from hundreds of thousands to 4 million. The movement consists primarily of students, teachers, businessman, journalists and other educated professionals, arranged in a flexible organizational network. It has founded schools, universities, an employers' association, as well as charities, real estate trusts, lobby groups, student bodies, radio and television stations, and newspapers. The schools and businesses organize locally, and link into networks on an informal rather than legal basis

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Friday 1020P (720P Pacific Time):  continued. Are they operating here? Undeniably yes. A fellow who's mapping the Gülenist structure in the US reports that it has an extremely impressive network of private schools: spotless, very high-tech, luxurious, more than almost any other in the US. Have neutral names like Harmony, or Peace. They never mention Gülen anywhere. You have to check into the Boards for Turkish names. This is a worldwide organization. A unique hybrid to win back the geostrategic power of the Ottoman Empire; it recognizes that in this age you do it in the garb of Western, modern dress. At Muhammed Fethullah Gülen's estate in Western PA, men have to wear Western dress; men may not marry till they're fifty, and wives must wear headscarves but no other identifying clothes.  "Educate people, penetrate into the system, and don't move till you have control."
Gulen's grandiose vision is the restoration of the Ottoman Empire and the creation of a universal caliphate.  In his public statements, Gulen espouses a liberal version of Sunni/Hanafi Islam and promotes the Muslim notion of hizmet - - altruistic service to the common good.  In private, Gulen has stated that "in order to reach the ideal Muslim society 'every method and path is acceptable, [including] lying to people.'"  With assets in excess of $30 billion, Gulen has wielded political allegiances in Washington that have resulted in the placement of Turkish Muslims in the CIA, NSA, FBI, and other national security organizations.  He has created well-heeled lobbies to promote the cause of Islam and to develop Islamic candidates for political office.  He has formed close friendships with Bill and Hillary Clinton, former Secretaries of State James Baker and Madeleine Albright, and George W. Bush.
See also: http://www.sodahead.com/united-states/fethullah-gulen-infiltrating-the-us-through-our-charter-schools-the-fgc-charter-schools-in-a/question-310317/
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*   *   *
Friday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Rufus Phillips, author of Why Vietnam Matters;   Bill Roggio, FDD; Arif Rafiq, Pakistan Policy blog, in re: WikiLeaks? The outrageous, larcenous government in Kabul is shown to be what everyone knows it is. [guffaw] Petraeus set up a corruption task force . . .  Kiyani is a stand-up guy but he's surrounded by vipers. . . . Laskar-i-Jangi: nasty street thugs, muscle for hire; hate the Shia and other religious minorities, whom they attack with bombs
Friday 1050P (750P Pacific Time):   continued
 
Friday 1105P (805P Pacific Time): Michael Vlahos, Naval War College, in re: Assange, WikiLeaks. American exceptionalism held that we would reform the human race and cast out devils; uplift God and redeem humanity.  As the devils change, the mission perforce changes, which is what we're facing now: our exceptionalism must consist in our defending ourselves from devils. Assange, the 39-year-old genius, doesn't like the notion that America is exceptional.  [Radio clip of Col Marion C Cooper, Chennault's chief of staff and just returned from China Air Task Force; he also produced King Kong.]
Friday 1120P (820P Pacific Time): continued. Afghanistan is rotten. Iraq has gone rotten. We've got to get to a big narrative where we see that America took a wrong turn; before it's too late, we need to turn it around. Unfortunately, all we get is lovely Hollyword fantasies like Avatar, while Washington is mired in delusion and  [incompetence]. 
Friday 1135P (835P Pacific Time): Terry Easton, author, Refounding America, RefoundingAmerica.com
Friday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  Amir Aczel, in re:  subatomic physics, anti-matter. Large Hadron Collider at CERN. Antimatter atoms; quark gluon, pursuit of the Higgs boson. Higgs boson gave mass to the quark; gluons were holding them together, then later became protons and neutrons. 
*   *   *
Large hadron collider, 27 miles in circumference, from Crozet in Switzerland to Ferney- Voltaire in France. The LHC is the largest, most expensive scientific experiment ever created. It is located along the French and Swiss border and creates conditions not seen since the first fraction of a second after the Big Bang, 13.7 billion years ago. 
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 *   *   *
Friday/Sat 1205A (905 Pacific Time):  Ed Meese, Heritage, in re: no New Start in the Lame Duck  
Friday/Sat  1220A (920 Pacific Time): Henry Miller, Hoover, in re: cholera; pandemics, 
Friday/Sat  1235A (935P Pacific Time):  Daniel Franklin, The Economist, in re: The World in 2011  
Friday/Sat  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt. Inspector Bliss, the Bliss Index, in re: Ronnie Chasen murder case. 
*   *   *
Slave army of Haiti, liberators of the first black independent nation in the Western Hemisphere
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François-Dominique Toussaint L'Ouverture (May 20, 1743 - April 6, 1804) was the leader of the Haitian revolution. Born in Saint-Domingue, Toussaint led enslaved blacks in a long struggle for independence over French colonizers, abolished slavery, and secured native control over the colony, Haiti. In 1797 while nominally governor of the colony, he expelled the French commissioner as well as the British armies; invaded Santo Domingo to free the slaves there, and wrote a Constitution naming himself governor-for-life that established a new polity for the colony.Toussaint L'Ouverture tried to rebuild the collapsed economy of Haiti and reestablish commercial contacts with the United States and Britain. His rule permitted the colony a taste of freedom which, after his death in exile, was gradually destroyed during the successive reigns of a series of despots. The name Toussaint L'Ouverture is French for "all saints [or souls] opening". 

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Thursday 2 December 2010

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Thursday 905P Eastern Time:  Jordan Fabian, The Hill, in re:  House passes legislation to extend only some Bush-era tax cuts 
Thursday 920P Eastern Time:  Deborah Gardner-Paterson, film director, in re: Africa United, a new film about three children who set out from Rwanda to reach South Africa in time for one of them to participate in the World Cup. 
Thursday 935P Eastern Time:  John Burns, NYT, in re: where in the world is Julian Assange?
Thursday 950P Eastern Time:  John Taylor, Hoover, in re: QE2 is not working; Fed return to price stability.
 
Thursday 1005P (705P Pacific Time):  Malcolm Hoenlein, in re:  . . . Stuxnet; the move in Iran to impeach Ahmadinejad for pocketing $9 mil of oil income, et al.  The fact of the murders of nuclear scientists says a great deal. Turkey's foreign minister: "We will be the dominant force in the Middle East" - whom does that knock out?
Thursday 1020P (720P Pacific Time): Omri Ceren, mererhetoric.com, also studying rhetoric at Annenberg School of Communications, in re: the Obama/Abdullah meeting. In the summer of 2009 Abdullah rejected Obama's equation for the Middle east; now, in WikiLeaks, we have confirmation that the king of the House of Saud considers Iran to be the head of the snake. At the meeting in Riyadh: Pres Obama entered, spoke of the massive danger to the region of Israel and the Jews. Abdullah was first in a state of disbelief - "We talk about Israel, but the obvious major threat to the Middle East is Iran." - and after disbelief came a meltdown in which the king spoke extremely directly and said, in effect, "Get a grip!"  Pres Obama had walked in believing the advice of his inner-circle advisors.  OC: On one hand, we had the wrong decision-making: ideology plus inexperience plus incompetence.  Israel has long had a clear diplomatic channel with every Arab country except Libya and Iraq. My concern is that anyone who'd think the people they're dealing with are that stupid, but that they can't change mid-course.

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Thursday 1035P (735P Pacific Time):  Malcolm Hoenlein, in re: . . . PA suddenly states that the Tomb of Rachel is not a jewish holy place. Fatah met last week and issued a list of demands, for their own populace, for the region, for the international community.  These are part of a concerted effort to delegitimize Israel.  Hariri report: author going on vacation on 15 December, promised to deliver it this week, may have been obliged under pressure for Iranians and Hizbollah to delay.  Turkey: offering aid because of the fires in northern Israel; Erdogan is considered  odd even buy his own Ministers. This head fo the newly-Islamic government meeds to be regarded as not stable - and even more so the Foreign Minister. Erdogan seems delusional, but the FM speaks of getting rid of the US, of Israel, or reestablishing the Ottoman Empire. Moslem Brotherhood have withdrawn from the Egyptian elections, then returned, which threw elBaradei off base.  The Brotherhood won't win the election, but can provide determinative votes.  A damaging WikiLeak: Germans proposed  . . .   Goldstone Report.
Thursday 1050P (750P Pacific Time): Lee Smith, of the Tablet magazine and The Weekly Standard, Visiting Fellow at Hudson, and author of The Strong Horse, in re: To the extent that there's an up side, the qualified WikiLeaks winner is Israel, as our Arab allies are consistently telling us that the danger in the Middle East is Iran, with its nuclear program and expansionist policies.  MH: Iranians used red Crescent ambulances to smuggle weapons. The loser is the US, as we've lost prestige and friendship with allies.  A lot of the stuff is new and unknown; stuff that should be known, such as the use of ambulances, has been ignored by the American press.  Also the delegitimization movement to make the Israelis look like bad guys. My short answer is that Hizbollah is bluffing, as they have nothing to gain right now from tearing up Lebanon.  
 
Thursday 1105P (805P Pacific Time): Mehrdad Khonsari, Senior Research Consultant at the Centre for Arab & Iranian Studies in London, in re: WikiLeaks  renders many people no longer obliged to explain why Middle eastern leaders feel the way they do, as their own words are now public.  From the Persian Gulf to Morocco, Iran is seen as the main threat, not Israel. Hugely embarrassing situation for them as they didn't expect to see the words they spoke in confidence covering the front pages of the world press. Ahmadinejad has declined to withdraw all his ambassadors.  The task of removing Ahmadinejad is now more pressing for them. Arab leaders know that this threat is not going to go away; the cost of confronting him will only increase; similar to what leaders dealt with in the early Thirties.
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Thursday 1120P (820P Pacific Time):  Ahron Horovitz,  Executive Director, City of David Institute for Jerusalem Studies, in re:  evidence that J was a vibrant city from 586BC . The Waqf authorities have been doing illegal excavations for over a decade; have been desroying antiquities from the Second Temple; they say that there never was a Temple and at the same time are destroying it. You can today go and see the wall of he Temple Mount - campuses around the world are beginning to teach the lie. It's important to spread the narrative of wisdom.
Thursday 1135P (835P Pacific Time):  Robert Zimmerman, behindtheblack.com, in re: 
Thursday 1150P (850P Pacific Time):  David Segal, NYT, in re: Vitaly Bornder, DecorMyEyes.com, in re: Google searches, Internet abuse.  
 
Thursday/Fri 1205A (905 Pacific Time):  Dan Henninger, WSJ, in re: WikiLeaks and Internet genie
Thursday/Fri  1220A (920 Pacific Time):  James Taranto, WSJ, in re: Obama is a Blue Dog?
Thursday/Fri  1235A (935P Pacific Time): Adam Nossiter, NYT, Ivory Coast's troubled election; gunplay
Thursday/Fri  1250A  (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt. 
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Wednesday 1 December 2010

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Hong Kong real estate; compare with the impoverished North Korea
where a satellite photo finds almost no light at night.


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Co-hosts: Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, and Jeff Bliss, The Bliss Index

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Wednesday 905P Eastern Time (605P Pacific Time):  Mary Kissel, WSJ Editorial Board, in New York, in re: China seeks talks to ease Korean tension.  WikiLeaks shows that China wittingly encouraged DPRK to sell mass-destruction nuclear weapons to Iran and Pakistan (which has been well known and much discussed among many journalists, readers, academics, normal citizens). Unhorses China's claim to participate in any Six-Party Talks.  It's now the responsibility of the president to make plain to the American citizenry the actions of China and North Korea and the effects these have on both US security and that of our genuine allies.
Wednesday 920P Eastern Time (620P Pacific Time):  continued: Okinawa re-elects opponent of US base. The Okinawa issue has been completely subsumed by North Korea - the threat of the Chinese in the East China Sea subsumes most other worries.  GC: There's no anti-Americanism in Asia right now because it's so scary; JBliss: No atheists in foxholes.  GK: "The first island chain" including Okinawa, goes all the way south to Vietnam and Malaysia: CHina claims all these, realizes that, absent these as buffer, its navy could be hemmed in.  Australia: the Liberals unexpectedly won in Victoria last week, the most populous state returns to conservatism. Highly ineffective coalition at present still speaking of carbon tax, global warming, annoying the electorate.  Economy slowing as China glows; however, the government is expanding its size, activities, and claims on the public's money.
Wednesday 935P Eastern Time (635P Pacific Time):  Matt Bai, NYT, in re: deficit commission and POTUS decision
Wednesday 950P Eastern Time (650P Pacific Time):   Landon Thomas, NYT, in re: London; euro crisis; Brady solution?  haircut for bondholders
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Wednesday 1005P Eastern  (705P Pacific Time):  Jeff Bliss, Gordon Chang, in re:  BofA exec gave a thumb drive of bank secrets to the fugitive Assange.  The large creature in WikiLeaks is China, which has been transferring nuclear technology from North Korea to Pakistan, Iran, et al. Why hasn't Washington confronted China? Because Condoleezza Rice and her boss, Pres Bush, decided to ignore all other transgressions in favor of "integrating China into the international system" - which patently has not worked.  China, no stranger to short term gains at the expense of long-term benefit, wants to supplant the US in the Middle East and will do anything - anything - to achieve that goal.  JCB: Expedience isn't enough of an explanation for me; G W Bush isn't that cynical.  GK: Chinese bureaucrats sound so rational - but the people who have power are in the Politburo and the Leading Committee on Foreign Affairs of the Communist Party.  JBliss: Wen Jiabao took a $100K kickback from a mining company; his wife spent more than that buying jewels in Hong Kong. They can block WikiLeaks and other data, but only for a while. Grampa Wen's venality may just be enough to bring the regime down.  JCB: The one creature that can eat the dragon [i.e.,  inflation].
*   *   *
NORTH KOREAN FIGURES
Main persons in North Korean military, security and foreign policy: Kim Jong-Il and Kim Jong-Un, Central Military Committee Co-Vice-Chairmen; Vice-Marshal Kim Yong-Chun, Vice-Marshal Ri Yong-Mu, Gen O Kuk-Yol, Gen Jang Song-Taek, and Vice-Marshal Ri Yong-Ho on the National Defense Committee.  The frozen-hearted Gen Kim Kyok-Sik and Gen Kim Myong-Guk are pillars of the most violent and ferocious state policy.

Chinese-North Korean border
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Wednesday 1020P Eastern (720P Pacific Time):  Andrew Batson, WSJ, in re: Inflation adds pressure on yuan: in the complicated cocktail of policies China has pursued in recent weeks to tackle an unwanted burst of inflation, one ingredient has been missing: a stronger yuan. But economists think that's likely to change. Chinese inflation is over 4% now, which focusses people's attention but is not a problem at that level; 6% is much higher than they'd like, having  target of 3%. At present: major food inflation.
Wednesday 1035P Eastern  (735P Pacific Time):  Evan Ramstad, WSJ Asia, in re: 1,400 displaced islanders from Yeongpyeong Island, since 23 Nov and the murderous shelling (400 still camped in an emergency bath house). If all the disputed island ere to be depopulated, the North would de facto have won. South Korean defense minister had to resign; its  media fan frustration with China: for an idea of how angry Seoul is with Beijing for not criticizing North Korea, read the papers.   Note that ROK preparedness is poor nationally (no bomb shelter in Seoul).  How ill-prepared is the entire military in time of crisis?  Not bad; last week merely showed weak communications and some indecision at the top.  Transfer of war-time control: important US-ROK discussions no doubt coming up. The South Korean military is planning to conduct large-scale artillery firing drills in 29 locations in the oceans surrounding the Korean Peninsula, including waters south of the Yellow Sea border, on Dec. 6-12, unnamed sources said Nov. 30, Yonhap reported. DPRK,
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objecting vociferously to the exercises, is trying to force the South to re-draw the border, to impose their definition on the world.  The bully tests.

(photo, right) Gen Kim Kyok-sik, commander of DPRK Fourth Corps, the man with much blood on his hands.
.
Wednesday 1050P Eastern (750P Pacific Time):  Bruce E Bechtol, Jr., Angelo State, in re: North Korea. Order of battle: Gen Kim Kyok-sik, former chief of General Staff of DPRK, moved to be in charge of Fourth Corps, on the Yellow Sea. signed off on the Cheonan attack and the shelling of Yeongpyeong Island: hardened mass-murderer. TTP - tactics, techniques and procedures - constantly changed, from land shells to multiple artillery to sub attack; changing each time: next could be perhaps infiltration attack, maritime, air.   DPRK swears to keep doing these until they wring concessions out of South Korea; ROK hasn't given anything, which almost guarantees PRK will keep kicking.  ROK has just radically changed its  rules of engagement: commanders may instantly fight back at whatever level they see fit.
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"Many houses were destroyed by North Korea's shelling of Yeonpyeong Island" -- rferl.org

Wednesday 1105P  Eastern (805P Pacific Time):  Joseph Sternberg, WSA Asia,  in re: America's Asian nuclear challenge: historical advantage may not be enough to ensure success in Asia's electrification race. 
Wednesday 1120P Eastern (820P Pacific Time):  Alex Bolton, The Hill, in re: tax-cut negotiations
Wednesday 1135P Eastern  (835P Pacific Time):  Jessica Silver-Greenburg, WSJ, in re: debt-buying collections agencies
Wednesday 1150P Eastern  (850P Pacific Time):  David Weidner, MarketWatch, in re: bank stress tests, rumors of BofA
 
Wednesday/Thurs 1205A  Eastern (905 Pacific Time):  Steve Moore, WSJ, in re: Bush tax-cut deal - nowhere?
Wednesday/Thurs  1220A Eastern (920 Pacific Time): Ed Wyatt, NYT, in re: insider trading wiretaps
Wednesday/Thurs  1235A  Eastern (935P Pacific Time): Terrence Hawkins, author, in re: Rage of Achilles
Wednesday/Thurs  1250A  Eastern (950P Pacific Time): Exeunt: Inspector Bliss on Ronnie Chasen/Beverly Hills case.
_________________________________________________________________________________
"Achilles Triumphant," by Howard David Johnson

Circling the walls of Troy; the humiliation of Hector by Achilles from Homer's Iliad; 2006
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