The John Batchelor Show

Friday 22 July 2016

Air Date: 
July 22, 2016

Photo, left: 
 
JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW
 
Hour One
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 1, Block A: Liz Peek, Fiscal Times and Fox, in re:   http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/2016/07/21/Cruz-Launches-His-Next-Presidential-Bid-Stink-Bomb-Cleveland
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 1, Block B: Amity Shlaes, economist and author, and chairman of the Coolidge Foundation; in re:   The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great Depression, by Amity Shlaes; & The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great Depression (Graphic Edition), by Chuck Dixon and Amity Shlaes
 
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 1, Block C: David Grinspoon, Blumberg Chair of Astrobiology, Library of Congress, in re:  Major major news: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/21/science/how-mountains-obscured-by-venuss-clouds-reveal-themselves.html?module=WatchingPortal&region=c-column-middle-span-region&pgType=Homepage&action=click&mediaId=wide&state=standard&contentPlacement=1&version=internal&contentCollection=www.nytimes.com&contentId=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2016%2F07%2F21%2Fscience%2Fhow-mountains-obscured-by-venuss-clouds-reveal-themselves.html&eventName=Watching-article-click&_r=0
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 1, Block D:  David Grinspoon, Blumberg Chair of Astrobiology, Library of Congress, in re: fresh Ceres — http://dawn.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news-detail.html?id=6560 .  Also  http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/07/14/science/space/nasa-new-horizons-one-year-after-pluto.html
Hour Two
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 2, Block A:  Michael E Vlahos,  Johns Hopkins, in re:  In an interview with the New York Times , Mr. Trump questioned the collective defense provisions of the NATO treaty on monetary grounds, saying that many members weren’t paying their fair share. He told the paper that if Russia attacked the Baltic States, which are NATO members, he would decide whether to defend them only after reviewing “if they have fulfilled their obligations to us.”
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 2, Block B:   Michael E Vlahos,  Johns Hopkins, in re:  https://audioboom.com/boos/4847888-joint-force-21st-century-elbridgecolby-cnasdc
Five Critical Capabilities  Five capability areas in particular will be critical to developing a joint force that can prevail in regional wars while still performing peacetime presence missions at a reasonable level:"
http://ndupress.ndu.edu/JFQ/Joint-Force-Quarterly-82/Article/793233/avoiding-becoming-a-paper-tiger-presence-in-a-warfighting-defense-strategy/
Joint Force Quarterly 82 (3rd Quarter, July 2016)  Avoiding Becoming a Paper Tiger: Presence in a Warfighting Defense Strategy    The American military is reentering a period of competition. For the 20 years following the collapse of the Soviet Union, the U.S. military reigned supreme, nearly unchallengeable in any state-on-state contingency that Washington might seriously care to take on. This meant that a whole generation of U.S. policymakers and military professionals became accustomed to U.S. military dominance, a dominance that enabled, and in some cases even propelled, a more ambitious and assertive foreign policy.
Yet as the Pentagon has been making increasingly clear in recent years, this long-accepted ascendancy is now in question. The conventional military buildup of China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA), Russia’s sophisticated modernization of its nuclear and nonnuclear forces, the proliferation of nuclear arms to North Korea, and the general diffusion of advanced technologies associated with the Revolution in Military Affairs all mean that U.S. military primacy is under increasingly severe stress.
The Pentagon has already begun to take steps to try to respond to these troubling developments, including through its commendable new Third Offset Strategy and related initiatives. These are designed to leverage U.S. advantages in the development and exploitation of technology, in bureaucratic flexibility, and in military doctrine and training to extend U.S. conventional military superiority into the future. Hopefully this endeavor will pay off.
But the reality is that even if they are successful, these efforts will not spare the U.S. military the need to alter the way it is postured, operates, and plans for conflict. Indeed, the Offset Strategy’s very success likely depends upon such changes. And some of these modifications are likely to be significant—not only in strictly military terms but also in the political and strategic consequences they entail.
The Importance of “Presence”  One of the most fundamental of these changes will be the way the U.S. military postures itself and operates, particularly in peacetime. Since the end of World War II, the United States has pursued a national strategy of forward engagement, allying or partnering with a host of countries in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, and, as it viewed necessary, fighting adversaries in these key regions. As a corollary of this strategy, U.S. military forces have been forward-based in or otherwise rotationally deployed to these areas. The presence of U.S. forces has thus been a regular feature of the strategic landscape of these regions, playing a significant role in shaping perceptions and calculations among allies and foes of Washington.
Indeed, this presence has become such a regular feature of political-military life in these areas that many consider it a significant factor in the deterrence of adversaries and the reassurance of allies. In fact, to some, the visible, tangible presence of U.S. forces has been as much—if not more—of a factor in deterrence and assurance as the actual warfighting ability of those forces. To this way of thinking, one that has become particularly ascendant since the end of the Cold War, the fact that U.S. forces were present to demonstrate American will and resolve was more important than their combat capabilities.
Such a view represents a distinct change from how U.S. strategy conceived of the purpose of forward presence prior to the collapse of the Soviet Union. During the Cold War, U.S. forces abroad evidenced American resolve, but they were also expected to perform important specific military objectives in the event of war. U.S. conventional military posture, force design, and operations, especially after the Soviet Union attained the ability to launch nuclear strikes at the American homeland, were typically determined—or at least heavily influenced—by the particular military concerns of how to stave off and, ideally, defeat Soviet Bloc aggression or coercion and, if this failed, to make the threat of U.S. nuclear usage more credible. The U.S. military of the latter part of the Cold War consequently developed conventional forces, based and operated them, and planned for their employment primarily with these warfighting concerns in mind.
In the wake of the dissolution of the Soviet threat, however, this demanding requirement evaporated. U.S. forces no longer faced . . .
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 2, Block C: Sean Wilentz, Princeton, in re:http://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/288839-five-shocking-republican-convention-moments
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 2, Block D:  Sean Wilentz, Princeton, in re:  http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/288900-leaked-dnc-emails-reveal-secret-plans-to-take-on-sanders
 
Hour Three
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 3, Block A:  Gene Marks, Washington Post, in re:  1.  Introduction for small business is America's business. / Presidential campaigns are likely to shift their focus to small business owners     www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/presidential-campaigns-likely-shift-focus-small-business-owners/
The "small-business" candidate Clinton finally hires a small-business organizer    http://www.forbes.com/sites/robbmandelbaum/2016/07/20/small-business-candidate-clinton-finally-hires-a-small-business-organizer/
In appealing to small businesses, Trump’s timing couldn’t be better http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/on-small-business/wp/2016/03/01/gene-marks-in-winning-over-small-business-trumps-timing-couldnt-be-better/
Employees will exercise for  incentives: http://www.businessinsurance.com/article/20160720/NEWS03/160729965
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 3, Block B:   Gene Marks, Washington Post, in re:   2.  Giant Tech   /  Amazon wants to turn street lights and church steeples into drone docking stations http://www.digitaltrends.com/cool-tech/amazon-prime-air-docking-stations/ @DigitalTrends
Amazon Tip-Toes into Banking Business   http://www.wsj.com/articles/amazon-tip-toes-into-banking-business-1469093403  
Facebook takes flight http://www.theverge.com/a/mark-zuckerberg-future-of-facebook/aquila-drone-internet
Microsoft readies new appointment-booking service for Office 365 Business Premium users  http://www.zdnet.com/article/microsoft-readies-new-appointment-booking-service-for-office-365-business-premium-users/ @ZDNet @maryjofoley
Uber dominates Q2 business travel as taxis see 51% decline in past 2 years   http://venturebeat.com/2016/07/21/uber-dominates-q2-business-travel-as-taxis-sees-51-decline-in-past-2-years/   @venturebeat
Is This New Snapchat Ad Feature Cool — or Creepy?  http://smallbiztrends.com/2016/07/behavioral-targeting.html @anniehp @smallbiztrends
Firefox will start blocking Flash content next month  http://www.macworld.com/article/3098439/internet/firefox-will-start-blocking-flash-content-next-month.html@ianpaul @macworld
3.  Small Tech  /  Snowden Designs a Device to Warn If Your iPhone’s Radios Are Snitching https://www.wired.com/2016/07/snowden-designs-device-warn-iphones-radio-snitches/ @WIRED
Crowdfunding website offering interest-free loans to Columbus small businesses http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/business/2016/07/21/1-new-loan-program-targets-small-business.html @BizMarkWilliams @DispatchAlerts
This irreverent mail-order startup was just purchased for $1billion http://money.us/29VcR2V via @MONEY
In-app messaging giant launches new business features that could be coming to your favorite app http://www.techrepublic.com/article/in-app-messaging-giant-launches-new-business-features-that-could-be-coming-to-your-favorite-app/ @ConnerForrest @techrepublic
 
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 3, Block C:  Richard A Epstein, Chicago and NYU Law, and Hoover: in re:  Last month, Judge Carlton W. Reeves of the Northern District of Mississippi handed down an extraordinarily misguided decision in Barber v. Bryant by issuing a preliminary injunction against House Bill 1523, Mississippi’s newly passed religious liberty law. The court found that House Bill 1523 likely denied the plaintiffs—a diverse group of supporters of same-sex marriage—their rights under Fourteenth Amendment’s Equal Protection Clause, and, furthermore, established preferred religious beliefs, violating the First Amendment’s Establishment Clause. Phil Bryant, the governor of Mississippi, has filed papers in the Court of Appeals to dissolve that temporary injunction. As someone who gave some brief advice and encouragement to Mississippi’s appellate lawyers, I think that their motion should be granted, given the major points of principle that it raises . . . http://www.hoover.org/research/religious-liberty-under-siege-mississippi  (1 of 2)
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 3, Block D:   Richard A Epstein, Chicago and NYU Law, and Hoover: in re:  Last month, Judge Carlton W. Reeves of the Northern District of Mississippi handed down an extraordinarily misguided decision in Barber v. Bryant by issuing a preliminary injunction against House Bill 1523, Mississippi’s newly passed religious liberty law. The court found that House Bill 1523 likely denied the plaintiffs—a diverse group of supporters of same-sex marriage—their rights under Fourteenth Amendment’s Equal Protection Clause, and, furthermore, established preferred religious beliefs, violating the First Amendment’s Establishment Clause. Phil Bryant, the governor of Mississippi, has filed papers in the Court of Appeals to dissolve that temporary injunction. As someone who gave some brief advice and encouragement to Mississippi’s appellate lawyers, I think that their motion should be granted, given the major points of principle that it raises . . . http://www.hoover.org/research/religious-liberty-under-siege-mississippi  (2 of 2)
 
Hour Four
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 4, Block A:  Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs, in re: What are some “take-aways” from what has happened?
 1. Turkey has now formally declared the US (and therefore NATO) as its enemy. Pres. Erdoğan has blamed the US Government for the coup attempt — which many inside Turkey and the Middle East will believe, given the US recent history of advocating “regime change” — and he did so in a way which offers little chance of revision, also publicly crediting Russian Spetsnaz troops with saving his life during the putsch. [How did they get to Marmaris to do this?] As a bonus to Russia, he also said that the shooting down of the Russian Air Force Su-24 strike aircraft over Syria in November 2015 was done by “CIA pilots”. The Russians know how it happened (Turkish F-16s engaged the Su-24), but listen patiently to the Erdoğan “big lies”.
 2. If logic prevails, the US and other NATO states will have to remove their military and intelligence assets from Turkey or risk them being even more compromised than they have become over the past few years. NATO will have to suspend Turkey from membership, something it has no mechanism, effectively, to do. Instead, as with the EU, it keeps waiting for Turkey to “‘fess up”, say “you got me, copper”, and resign from NATO. Why should Erdoğan do that? He will stay in NATO and the EU negotiations as long as he can extract economic and political benefit, even as he — for his own ideological reasons — undermines those institutions. And no-one has the nerve, in NATO states (particularly during a US Presidential election year and a meltdown in the EU) to initiate “Turkex” (Turkish exit) procedures. And no-one in NATO or the senior member states has actually done the calculation as to how to structure global and regional strategies without Turkey, or how to remove Turkish officers from NATO facilities; how to manage the region without Turkey. These were things which should have been considered, and the warnings of this journal for many years should have been heeded. (1 of 2)
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 4, Block B:  Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs, in re:  What are some “take-aways” from what has happened?
 1. Turkey has now formally declared the US (and therefore NATO) as its enemy. Pres. Erdoğan has blamed the US Government for the coup attempt — which many inside Turkey and the Middle East will believe, given the US recent history of advocating “regime change” — and he did so in a way which offers little chance of revision, also publicly crediting Russian Spetsnaz troops with saving his life during the putsch. [How did they get to Marmaris to do this?] As a bonus to Russia, he also said that the shooting down of the Russian Air Force Su-24 strike aircraft over Syria in November 2015 was done by “CIA pilots”. The Russians know how it happened (Turkish F-16s engaged the Su-24), but listen patiently to the Erdoğan “big lies”.
 2. If logic prevails, the US and other NATO states will have to remove their military and intelligence assets from Turkey or risk them being even more compromised than they have become over the past few years. NATO will have to suspend Turkey from membership, something it has no mechanism, effectively, to do. Instead, as with the EU, it keeps waiting for Turkey to “‘fess up”, say “you got me, copper”, and resign from NATO. Why should Erdoğan do that? He will stay in NATO and the EU negotiations as long as he can extract economic and political benefit, even as he — for his own ideological reasons — undermines those institutions. And no-one has the nerve, in NATO states (particularly during a US Presidential election year and a meltdown in the EU) to initiate “Turkex” (Turkish exit) procedures. And no-one in NATO or the senior member states has actually done the calculation as to how to structure global and regional strategies without Turkey, or how to remove Turkish officers from NATO facilities; how to manage the region without Turkey. These were things which should have been considered, and the warnings of this journal for many years should have been heeded. (2 of 2)
 
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 4, Block C: Brett A. McGuire & P. Brandon Carroll; in re:
Discovery of the interstellar chiral molecule propylene oxide (CH3CHCH2O)  http://science.sciencemag.org/content/352/6292/1449
Chiral molecule discovered in space A chiral molecule is one that has two forms that are mirror images of each other: enantiomers. Biological systems overwhelmingly use one enantiomer over another, and some meteorites show an excess of one type. The two forms are almost identical chemically, so how this excess first arose is unknown. McGuire et al. used radio astronomy to detect the first known chiral molecule in space: propylene oxide. The work raises the prospect of measuring the enantiomer excess in various astronomical objects, including regions where planets are being formed, to discover how and why the excess first appeared.
Science, this issue p. 1449 / Abstract  Life on Earth relies on chiral molecules—that is, species not superimposable on their mirror images. This manifests itself in the selection of a single molecular handedness, or homochirality, across the biosphere. We present the astronomical detection of a chiral molecule, propylene oxide (CH3CHCH2O), in absorption toward the Galactic center. Propylene oxide is detected in the gas phase in a cold, extended molecular shell around the embedded, massive protostellar clusters in the Sagittarius B2 star-forming region. This material is representative of the earliest stage of solar system evolution in which a chiral molecule has been found.
Authors: Brett A. McGuire & P. Brandon Carroll; Ryan A. Loomis, Ian A. Finneran, Philip R. Jewell, Anthony J. Remijan, Geoffrey A. Blake.  (1 of 2)
Friday  22 July 2016 / Hour 4, Block D:   Brett A. McGuire & P. Brandon Carroll; in re:
Discovery of the interstellar chiral molecule propylene oxide (CH3CHCH2O)  http://science.sciencemag.org/content/352/6292/1449
Chiral molecule discovered in space A chiral molecule is one that has two forms that are mirror images of each other: enantiomers. Biological systems overwhelmingly use one enantiomer over another, and some meteorites show an excess of one type. The two forms are almost identical chemically, so how this excess first arose is unknown. McGuire et al. used radio astronomy to detect the first known chiral molecule in space: propylene oxide. The work raises the prospect of measuring the enantiomer excess in various astronomical objects, including regions where planets are being formed, to discover how and why the excess first appeared.
Science, this issue p. 1449 / Abstract  Life on Earth relies on chiral molecules—that is, species not superimposable on their mirror images. This manifests itself in the selection of a single molecular handedness, or homochirality, across the biosphere. We present the astronomical detection of a chiral molecule, propylene oxide (CH3CHCH2O), in absorption toward the Galactic center. Propylene oxide is detected in the gas phase in a cold, extended molecular shell around the embedded, massive protostellar clusters in the Sagittarius B2 star-forming region. This material is representative of the earliest stage of solar system evolution in which a chiral molecule has been found.
Authors: Brett A. McGuire & P. Brandon Carroll; Ryan A. Loomis, Ian A. Finneran, Philip R. Jewell, Anthony J. Remijan, Geoffrey A. Blake.  (2 of 2)