The John Batchelor Show

Monday 30 November 2015

Air Date: 
November 30, 2015

 
Photo, left: 
JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW
Co-host: Thaddeus McCotter, WJR, the Great Voice of the Great Lakes
Hour One
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 1, Block A: Tom Joscelyn, FDD and LongWarJournal, and Bill Roggio, FDD and LongWarJournal; in re: Under a certain international. Ansar al Shariah Libya:   The attack in Benghazi was launched by five groups all al Qaeda.   ISIS controls some territory in Libya, uses it to conduct attacks there and in Tunisia. Large contingent of ISIS Tunisians and Libyan fighters in Iraq and Syria.  Libya is a jihadist nightmare, a mini-Syria. Militias, or pseudo-armies.  Al Q is strong in Libya's east, in Durna, while ISIS controls some of its periphery. Libya is a wholly failed state, shot through with gangs, one of the horrible stories since 2011; West had zero policy in place other than taking out Gaddafi.  ObL wrote a memo: he believed there was a jihadist renaissance occurring in Libya; and boy, was he right.  Note: Libya is entirely the Obama Administration, and entirely on Mrs Clinton's watch.
Jihadists kill 3 in attack on UN base in Mali  Al Qaeda and allied jihadist groups have repeatedly targeted UN forces since early 2013.
British Prime Minister highlights Islamic State’s threat to UK, West  In a memo submitted to the UK parliament, British Prime Minister David Cameron claimed that seven terrorist plots have been broken up in the UK in the past 12 months, the number of terrorism-related arrests is up 31%, and the Islamic State has an "external operations structure in Syria" that is devoted to planning attacks in the West.
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 1, Block B: Tom Joscelyn, FDD and LongWarJournal, and Bill Roggio, FDD and LongWarJournal; in re: The breadth of the landscape of combat from the Atlantic to the Hindu Kush.  Not w to mainland Europe: what it means that David Cameron, English PM, warns of the threat of ISIS.   Everyone in Europe that "the system was blinking red" – too many threats, couldn't be neutralized.  Can't stop them all. Cameron is rightfully worried; knows that his own security svcs have their hands full. As we saw in Paris: wasn't Khalid Sheikh Mohammed who was unknown till six months after 9/11 – but in Paris, those guys were known threats.  Imagine of one of the key Paris killers managed to get to Syria – being hunted by the whole world – that's a major story.  Taliban are overrunning big pieces of Afghanistan. Not exactly Afghan nationalists – they rejoiced at Paris, being closely tied to al Qaeda. 
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 1, Block C: Gordon Chang, Forbes.com, in re: The Chinese economic system is seriously weakened.  PMI terrible; .  The IMF SDR basket today accepted renminbi; relevant mostly to central banks for counting, but it does mean that Beijing has succeeded in getting its currency as a reserve currency – major political coup – but the RMB technically does not meet the basic requirements to be included, so it was an IMF political decision.  . . . Lot of wealth mgt products in China that depend on the mfrg sector, Big firm went bust today, investors on the street, upset.  Now it's not just a mfrg disease, it's a financial disease. China has finally agreed that dvpg countries  also have pollution and carbon obligations.  China's emissions will increase 0.24% this year – insignificant; and because of diminished mfrg – but India has a different problem. China using carbon caps to bludgeon the Indian economy. US has pledged $3 bil for help and won't pay; China has pledged $3.1 bil and will pay. China wants a legally-binding deal – a treaty – requiring Senate ratification, which Obama cannot get.  If China's emissions go back up, will not honor the deal, but that's not likely in the coming decade.  China hardly ever honors it's obligations.  Premier Li says China will reach 7% growth this year. Citigroup says max of 4% - and that's probably too optimistic.
As one divide heals at the global climate talks, a new one opens.    http://www.forbes.com/sites/gordonchang/2015/11/29/china-wont-block-global-climate-deal-in-paris-but-india-might/
China air force patrols in Beijing's ADIZ in the East China Sea  China air force patrols in Beijing's ADIZ in the East China Sea ... East China Sea, known in China as the Diaoyu and in Japan as the Senkaku.   ;  Chinese military planes fly near Okinawa Island during drill ; China air force again holds drills in Western Pacific
Japan to Send 500 Troops to Ishigaki Islands near Disputed East ...  Japan plans to increase security near the disputed East China Seaand ... The Ishigaki Islands have jurisdiction over the Japan-controlled Senkaku Islands, which ... as China has been building up its military forces and patrolling in the ... plans to ask China to implement a maritime and air communications ...
East China Sea Disputed Islets: “An Issue in the Looming on Japan ... ; Japan to deploy troops near disputed islands
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 1, Block D: Kevin Daniel Wiliamson, NRO, in re: In the short term, Mr Obama gets a lot of donations, and approval from the upper middle class . However, as he sees his various policies come to naught, he's looking for a legacy.  Few Americans are focused on this.  Silicon Valley VCs not investing in alternative/green energy – not a lot of profit visible, But they'll give away money for research.  Zuckerberg, and the guy who founded LinkedIn [Mr Reid], and Gates are all bright, but they're all software guys.  Just before the Industrial Revolution, a mini-Ice Age. All considered, they're still talking about a minor increase in temperature. Instead, they're talking in Paris about huge mitigation projects that India won't do, and China will avoid, and the US might do if it has to.  Switzerland?
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/427729/sidetracked-paris-climate-conference-hustlE
Hour Two
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 2, Block A:  John Fund, NRO, and David M Drucker, Washington Examiner, in re: More thousands and thousands of pages of Mrs Clinton's emails; what we don't have is what State hasn't released and the Clintons may  have expunged.
So . . .  the GOP's prospects look good: on the eve of a massive success – control both houses of Congress, control dozens of states politics, many federal and state offices . . . all this makes possible winning the White House; blocked by a poor candidate, Mrs Clinton with  her many travails.  Is the GOP cheery or moaning about Trump?  Moaning about Trump.   The Executive probably as become more powerful than was originally intended. If  they lose the WH, might lose the Senate.  Dems, however, have to hold on to WH since that's all they have.   Dems talk of demography, female votes.  Balz was commenting on a good book by a Dem – "Not all is wine and roses right now."  On the flip side, many who are inclined to vote GOP are too optimistic: they mistake for Mrs Clinton's being bad is the same as being weak – she's not weak – and they thing everyone thinks the same way they do Clinton is the candidate of continuity.  Trump is a godsend for him, since he wants to tear up the society.  In 2012, the Dems claimed that Romney had killed a woman with cancer – fantastic and astounding.  Romney didn't know how to fight back, This time, need a GOP savvy communicator.  The Republican base demands a fighter this time.
 
 Republicans Have a Much Bigger Upside in 2016 Dan Balz: “If Republicans win the presidency in 2016, they would then control nearly everything – the White House, the House, probably the Senate and certainly a majority of governorships.”
“If Democrats hold the White House, they might win the Senate but probably would not have the House and would be in a distinct minority in the states. If they lose the White House, they would be virtually wiped out of power. For Democrats, that means a victory in the general election still would represent only a down payment on the future and a continuing struggle to implement the kind of progressive economic agenda that Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders have begun to talk about in their campaigns.”
Christie Wins Big Endorsement Gov. Chris Christie gained some traction with an endorsement from New Hampshire’s Union Leader, traditionally the most respected newspaper voice in the first-in-the-nation primary state, Politico reports.
From the editorial: “Gov. Christie is right for these dangerous times. He has prosecuted terrorists and dealt admirably with major disasters. But the one reason he may be best-suited to lead during these times is because he tells it like it is and isn’t shy about it.”
New York Times: “The newspaper’s endorsement, coming 10 weeks before the first-in-the-nation primary, arrived earlier than it had in the past two election cycles involving crowded Republican primary fields.”
Is Marco Rubio an Insider or Outsider?  Wall Street Journal: “The underdog narrative helps Mr. Rubio cast himself as a political outsider to a party desperate for change. But it glosses over a basic fact: The 44-year-old Florida senator has spent the bulk of his working life in politics, reared by the party whose leaders he occasionally campaigns against.  . . . This tension between Rubio the insider and Rubio the outsider cuts to the heart of his biggest challenge in the Republican primary—positioning himself as a bridge candidate, while some of his rivals specifically target evangelicals and tea-party conservatives and others focus on rallying the establishment.”
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 2, Block B: John Fund, NRO, and David M Drucker, Washington Examiner, in re: Chris Christie is a hands-on manager who can bull his way thought.  Parts appeal to GOP, parts don't.  In March, thought they wanted a CEO like that; not-w GOP wants change and a new approach, Christies as an aggressive fighter appeals; the part where he's a gov and knows what he's doing is not important. He's such a good retail pol.   For all his rep as a good gov of NJ, his state is falling apart financially; not an unblemished record. How willing is the GOP electorate to overlook philosophical deviations prefer electability over purity?  Seeing Trump,  . . . on the other hand, I suspect that philosophy and positions will start to matter.  Hence Rubio and Cruz rise.  Abt 30-35% of the electorate is moderate.  A lot of Trump's voters are angry moderates' if Christie or Kasich or someone can [attract] them. Can get ahead. Recall that most of the electorate doesn't pay attention till it has to.  Six weeks.
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 2, Block C:  Malcolm Hoenlein, Conference of Presidents, in re:  Not only was the shootdown a deliberate provocation, but Turkey is he author of ISIS. Erdogan has made statements that border on an apology, Turkey's economy depends on Russia n oil, energy, 4 million tourists, thousands of trucks. A huge blow to both the Turkish and the Russian economies.  . . . Moscow intends to break the AKP.  Russia has long viewed Turkey with fear. Look at personalities: Putin's intention to expand his influence in the region.  Russia is replacing the West because they can. Russia finances deals, offers excellent terms.   Egypt asked for huge amts of weapons to be advanced – Russia agreed, expedited the order – opposite of US MO. Egypt still resents Obama Adm support of Morsi and of Muslim Brotherhood's undermining of the Egyptian state.  Russia is no longer a temporary guest but a permanent player.   Since 2010 when Turkey said it was trying to end a siege, it's been falling down steps – most of the regional nati0ons don't trust Erdogan, and now Russia, too. Not the revival of the Ottoman Empire, but the failure of what remains.  Turks were trying to send Russia a message about Syria; have made a grave mess.     Israel, Jordan unveil $800m joint plan for ‘Red-Dead’ canal  As well as rejuvenating the rapidly diminishing Dead Sea, the canal will bring drinking water to both countries
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 2, Block D: Malcolm Hoenlein, Conference of Presidents, in re: Davutoglu; UAE office; S-400 in Syria. Al Nusrah in Syria launches a suicide attack vs ISIS wiping out the Yarmuk Brigade in the Golan: the fact that it killed six top ISIS commanders in the Golan was important.  Iran, Hezb, and elements of Syrian army have been working in Golan; al N was fighting vs ISIS encroachments.  IDF monitor movements; al N in effect working w IDF.  Can see Russian tanks all along the border. Not trying to penetrate Israel, but to establish a hierarchy of power.  Israel sees daily shipments form Iran to Hezbollah – 150,000 aimed at Israel.  New advanced guidance systems.  Israel has to be very careful about not getting involved in a complex situation just north of its frontier. / ISIS is a creation of IT and Qatar.
..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..  ..
Israel and Jordan are moving ahead with a plan to build a water-carrying canal from the Red Sea to the Dead Sea, which will rehabilitate the shrinking Dead Sea and supply drinking water to Israelis, Jordanians and Palestinians.  Interior Minister Silvan Shalom and Jordanian Water Minister Hazim Nasser on Monday announced the release of the $800 million tender, which will be formally published Tuesday. The two nations, which made peace in 1994, are seeking a company to construct the canal and operate it for 25 years.
“Today we took an additional historic step to save the Dead Sea,” said Shalom, who served as water minister in the last government, on a trip to Jordan on Monday. “The joint international tender to be published tomorrow is proof of the cooperation between Israel and Jordan, and a response to those who cast doubt on whether the canal project would ever go ahead. This is an exceptional environmental and diplomatic achievement that testifies more than anything to the fertile cooperation between the [two] countries.”  The pipeline will take some four or five years to complete. It will be 180 kilometers long and will pass through Jordanian territory, carrying around 200 million cubic meters of seawater from the Red Sea — at the very southern tip of Israel — per annum.  A desalination plant in the Jordanian city of Aqaba, across the gulf from the Israeli resort town of Eilat, will produce the drinking water. Israel will receive around 30-50 million cubic meters of potable water, which will go to Eilat and communities in the arid Arava region, while Jordan will use 30 million cubic meters for its own southern areas.
One hundred million cubic meters of the highly saline byproduct of the process will be piped north to the Dead Sea — the lowest point on earth at some 427 meters (1,400 feet) below sea level — to replenish the lake, whose level has dipped precariously in recent decades. Environmentalists have . . .             
Hour Three
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 3, Block A: Mary Kissel, Wall Street Journal Editorial Board & host of Opinion Journal on WSJ Video; in re: Opinion Journal: The Paris Climate Conference  Editorial Page Editor Paul Gigot on what to expect as global leaders meet to talk climate change.  Opinion Journal: The Paris Climate Conference   Editorial Page Editor Paul Gigot on what to expect as global leaders meet to talk climate change.   Opinion Journal: India’s Climate Change Calculus  Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow Alyssa Ayres on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s goals at the Paris climate change conference.
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 3, Block B:  Pastor William Devlin, Infinity Bible Church, REDEEM!, Right to Worship NYC, in re:  Miami Dolphins fire offensive coordinator Bill Lazor, promote Zac Taylor  The Miami Dolphins, who haven't won an AFC East game in almost a calendar year, fired ...
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 3, Block C:   Andrew Revken, NYT, in re: http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/in-paris-managing-humanitys-relationship-with-earths-climate-becomes-normal/?module=BlogPost-Title&version=Blog%20Main&contentCollection=Climate%20Change&action=Click&pgtype=Blogs&region=Body
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 3, Block D: John Tamny, Daily Beast & Forbes.com, in re: Bernie Sanders preaches to his flock the need to create an "economy that works for all, not just the wealthy," but as evidenced by the desperate desire among the world's poorest to get to the U.S., that economy already exists.  The world's poor are busy escaping the collectivism Sanders espouses, at which point we can only look to the well-to-do and careless as the source of Sanders' support.  Sanders disdains great wealth, but it's only in a country marked by abundant success and a lack of want that Sanders could have a following at all.  
Bernie Sanders Is a Creation of the Wealth He Disdains  The end of World War II brought with it the end of the British Empire as it was previously known.  While in 1945 a British passport rendered the owner of it a citizen of one quarter of the world's land mass, within a few years the empire had shrunk quite a bit. India, the presumed "Jewel" in the Crown, was soon to be free thanks to the efforts of independence leaders like Mahatma Gandhi. While he was uncomfortable with socialists whom he saw as "armchair" owing to their unwillingness to live in impoverished fashion, Gandhi sought an egalitarian India with ideas for the country that most today would view as socialist.  As Larry Collins and Dominique LaPierre described his vision in their endlessly interesting book, Freedom at Midnight,  . . .
Hour Four
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 4, Block A: The Shadow King: The Bizarre Afterlife of King Tut's Mummy, by Jo Marchant (1 of 4)
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 4, Block B: The Shadow King: The Bizarre Afterlife of King Tut's Mummy, by Jo Marchant (2 of 4)
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 4, Block C: The Shadow King: The Bizarre Afterlife of King Tut's Mummy, by Jo Marchant (3 of 4)
Monday 30 November 2015  / Hour 4, Block D: The Shadow King: The Bizarre Afterlife of King Tut's Mummy, by Jo Marchant (4 of 4)
http://www.amazon.com/The-Shadow-King-Bizarre-Afterlife/dp/0306821338
.