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JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW
Co-host: Larry Kudlow, CNBC senior advisor; & Cumulus Media radio
 
Hour One
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 1, Block A: Steve Moore, senior economic advisor to Donald Trump; Mary Kissel, Wall Street Journal Editorial Board & host of Opinion Journal on WSJ Video; in re: The ongoing presidential election.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 1, Block B: Steve Moore, senior economic advisor to Donald Trump; Mary Kissel, Wall Street Journal Editorial Board & host of Opinion Journal on WSJ Video; in re: The ongoing presidential election.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 1, Block C: Steve Moore, senior economic advisor to Donald Trump; Mary Kissel, Wall Street Journal Editorial Board & host of Opinion Journal on WSJ Video; in re: Steve Ratner tweets a Bloomberg graph of the market falling off a cliff – fear of loss of Clinton; why?  Because the markets want easy money. Also: concern about Trump on trade, protectionism, trade wars. When Trump goes up, Mexican peso and stocks go down. Holman Jenkins.   And btw, Mrs Clinton is a protectionist, and for high-tax, high-spending; drain money and give it to the govt.  She wants to take over single-payer health care. . . .  If the campaign is about temperament, she wins; if it's about policies, he wins.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 1, Block D: Steve Moore, senior economic advisor to Donald Trump; Mary Kissel, Wall Street Journal Editorial Board & host of Opinion Journal on WSJ Video; in re: The ongoing presidential election.
 
Hour Two
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 2, Block A:  Rita Cosby, senior WABC political director; John Fund, NRO, in re:  Mrs Clinton 109 Electoral Votes; Mr Trump 150 EV.
NC, PA, MI, VA, WI, NH, MO, CO, OH, FL: all on nanomargins. – oops, Virginia just called for Clinton.
Florida: waiting for Miami-Dade & Panhandle (but Rubio winning by a lot).  Illinois; Indiana is a hold. 
Gov McAuliffe did well by giving 60,000 former felons the right to vote; expect legal challenges. Clinton still cd win: depends on Michigan (the difference between 262 and 270).  Caveat provisional ballots, which will be counted later.   Legal Donnybrook.
If Minnesota went for Trump, it’d all depend on Maine’s Second District.
Rita Cosby is an Emmy-winning TV and radio host, anchoring highly rated prime-time shows on Fox News and MSNBC; has interviewed countless celebrities, newsmakers, and over 20 world leaders.  77 WABC in NYC is the most-listened-to talk station in the country, being heard in 38 states.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 2, Block B: Dr Lara Brown, George Washington University,  & Francis Rose, NationalDefenseWeek.com and francisrose.com,  @FrancisRoseDC, WJLA-TV, WMAL-AM,  in re:  If Mrs Clinton can acquire the Phila Collar Counties she can hold on; Trump is outperforming Romney in PA rural areas.  Illinois: changed Duckworth for Kirk. Tonight, Senate races: predicted results are not coming to pass.  . . .  Fascinated to see which way NH will go; also NC and FL (where they'll land); and they indicate where CO and NV will land.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 2, Block C:  Mona Charen, NRO, & Rick Outzen, Publisher/ Owner, Pensacola Independent News & WCOA radio; in re: . . .  Mrs Clinton short 136,000 votes in Florida. . . . Disconnect between exit polls and what the actual votes say.  Women’s vote in PA ad other states: inconsistent with Trump victory; even in exit polls, large numbers said clearly they wouldn’t vote for Trump for substantial reasons, so puzzling. In NW Florida, Dems did an excellent job in getting out the vote, but Mrs Clinton isn't winning here.  Even Nate Silver is giving Mrs C a less-than-50% chance of winning. 
Turn-out: 37% Dem 32% GOP, rest independent, Maybe a lot of Dems voting for Trump.
Will be a long night.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 2, Block D:  Joe Rago, Wall Street Journal, & Josh Rogin,  ,  in re: Fox is having a huge outdoor party on Sixth Avenue in Manhattan, hundreds of thrilled supporters.  . . . McMullin HQ in Utah: live-vote count has Trump ’way ahead, but too early to count. . . . WSJ is live-blogging the election. 269 to 269?  Were that to occur, that’d put Utah in the Trump camp). . . Wisconsin: Ron Johnson (R) , is actually winning over Russ Feingold.  Utahans have always felt disconnected from the rest of the country; people here are nice, how could discourse have slid so low?  People here just staring at their screens with their jaws open to their knees.
Hour Three
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 3, Block A:   Thaddeus McCotter, WJR, and Gene Countryman, KNSS & all of Kansas, in re:   Rhetoric from both sides and natl division; Reagan Democrat s are enraged at he stem of governance; looks like a one-party State.
Races we’ve discussed apparently shaking out 4 to 1 for Trump. WI, NC, NH; only losing GOP is Toomey in PA (49-47 for McGinty). Illinois: Kirk is out; FL: Rubio is in. Blount is in in Missouri.  Did people deceive the pollsters ad tell the truth in the booth?  They figured out how to game the system. Someone sticks a mic in front of their face, they avoid being smeared and slandered.  . . . People struggling, afraid for the future of their children, and less food on the table.
The 2008 disaster was the handiwork of the dual-party system; Trump is the only candidate who made it clear that he no longer will accept the system.
In Kansas, an exciting evening – but not count chickens yet. Month ago, D J Trump held a rally in Wichita, same moment as Cruz won the caucus. . . . What a weak candidate Hilary Clinton turned out to be.  She had every advantage – money, name-recognition, Hollywood, and she’s still apparently losing.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 3, Block B:  Kori Schake, Hoover, in re:  Our adversaries are well prepared for a Trump win; it's our allies who are not. People are scared about what a Trump foreign policy would be. The firewall of people who organized anti-Trump . . .   Everything depends on Pennsylvania or . . .  Our friends have been worried about our reliability; are hedging bets; “leading from behind” is not leading.
I’ve been reassuring everyone, but if Mr Trump wins his recklessness with which he navigates will be very dangerous for America’s friends.
Battles for Mosul and Aleppo: crises Does he have a remedy? No – not even a basic understanding of the use of military of force or how to integrate it into an overall strategy.
Allies are worried about Mr Trump’s wide recklessness.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 3, Block C:    Bill Whalen, Hoover, and Brett Arends,  Marketwatch, in re: . . . watching Michigan.  The overnight Dow has collapsed by 700 points: based on uncertainty, not Trump’s possible victory.  The Canadian-immigration website has crashed tonight.  270towin.com has crashed!  The polls missed his completely.
Mkts rallied 500 points yesterday after the Comey letter, now the Dow is down 700. Trump is a massive unknown, looks scary to most of the world. Obama was unknown but he talks nice.
It's easy to congratulate Trump for carrying it this far, but Mrs Clinton is really disliked. With all of her advantages she should be winning handily.   .. . Reversal not impossible; we should talk again an hour from now. . . . Let’s see whom he calls down to Palm Beach to talk.  We keep expecting our new presidents to accomplish great things swiftly.   . . . If you think the world was shocked after Brexit, you ain’t seen nuthin’ yet.  Trump will fire the first person who tells him he can't do something; and he’ll fire the next person to do so.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 3, Block D: Harry Siegel, New York Daily News, & George Henry Davis 1886 Professor of American History at Princeton University; in re:  Trump has surrounded himself with Fascists, the Klan, that ilk. The Democrats will be at each other’s throats; God knows what will become of the Republicans.  This is a shocker.
If Trump pulls this off, I’ll try calmly to take stock of how he pulled this off.  . . . Progressives got wiped out.  In newsrooms like mine, the conversation was about how America is getting more diverse. . . . Those of us in the media elite have to consider what of Mrs Clinton’s flaws as a candidate led us so far away from what the country is.
 
Hour Four
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 4, Block A:  Devin Nunes, CA-21, and Mary Kissel, Wall Street Journal Editorial Board & host of Opinion Journal on WSJ Video; in re: Congratulations, Congressman; your prescience was absolutely right. “We're just getting started out here in California; polls just closing, When Mrs Clinton’s numbers never rose above 46% and his did, I said, ‘Watch out.’ When he began to pull ahead in the RealClearPolitics, [numbers], I knew he’d win.
My gut feeling is that it's because Mrs Clinton didn't even campaign out here; and the decades of corruption! The FBI thing just reminded everyone of the corruption of he last decades.  And Mr Trump was on message for the last weeks. Much of this country has not recovered financially. And people need jobs, believe that he’ll help. 
It’ll take a while for Mr Trump to [organize this]; Gen Flynn will be key.  Donald Trump was right when he called out that the world is on fire.
Also a note of praise to the RNC: active in many key states, deserve some credit for the organization. Donald Trump and Reinse Priebus were often together and got along well.
What does California need, what can Mr Trump do?  The tax code has got to be re-written – move to quickly to bring mfrg jobs back.  Second for California is we need water:  it's not a drought, it's a regulatory drought.   Washington, D.C., needs to be shook up.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 4, Block B:  Stephen Cohen,  , in re: The Moscow Kremlin are having vodka in their morning tea.  Russians said that the WH it preparing a cyber attack on Russia. No precedent for this, and tension in Russia very high.  . .  .    The anti-Russian madness comes from US elites, not the American people.  What Mrs Clinton did with neo-McCarthyism: if you speak at all well of Russians you're demonized as a pro-Communist evil.  Since the Kremlin-baiting didn’t hurt Trump, maybe he’ll create a bit of space for us to talk about the new cold war.
Russia had nothing to do with the fact that Mrs Clinton is one of the worst presidential candidates in history.
Albert in Pogo: “We have seen the enemy and he is us.”
We need to find a social constituency in our own elite to entertain the discussion . . 
See: EastWestAccord.com
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 4, Block C:  Thaddeus McCotter, WJR; Francis Rose, NationalDefenseWeek.com and francisrose.com,  @FrancisRoseDC, WJLA-TV, WMAL-AM; Robert Zimmerman, BehindtheBlack, in re:
- After the 2008 bailout vote, I warned my colleagues: If you ignore blue-collar America, [it’ll come back and bite you]. And the media echo chamber – every time it criticized Trump, that gave him more credibility. 
- Downballot races: may have a 53-47 Senate.  The GOP House is matched by a GOP Senate and appears to be matched by a GOP president.
- We don't know much about Trump’s intentions in space because Trump doesn't know much about it. . .  The cost-effectiveness of private space will eventually persuade Congress to [endorse] it. / Musk predicts mid-December return to flight. A relatively quick fix to a fairly simple problem; a positive sign.
Orion faces more delays: NASA, big-govt space; fourteen years to build one capsule and still has scheduling problems. May not be ready by 2018. Compare Musk with Big Space.
Texas spaceport approved as potential Dream Chaser landing site (a reusable mini-shuttle to carry astronauts up and down, start with cargo). Dream Chaser lands on a runway, so they’re looking for runways.  Beginning with Midland, Texas, which is good for local business.  
Climate change: Decline in sunspots.  The Sun has been ramping down from its 2012-20014 weak solar maximum, ramping down much faster than predicted. In the past a  short solar cycle went with big activity – but here we have a short solar cycle with little solar activity, We don't understand May be at a minimum for decades, cooling Earth climate.
Unity glide test canceled in flight. Vector teams up with private company for rocket tracking. Luxembourg invests $28 million in private asteroid mining company. Largest Texas meteorite found. Atlas 5 to launch Cygnus in March.
Tuesday  8 November 2016   / Hour 4, Block D:  Steve Moore, senior economic advisor to Donald Trump; Gordon Chang, Daily Beast and Forbes.com; Martin Fackler,  Tokyo think tank: Rebuild Japan Initiative Foundation sr researcher, in re:  
-       If this lead holds, the first thing will be exec orders repealing Obama’s exec orders, starting with the one putting coal miners out of work. Obamacare is the big loser – it’ll be dramatically changed. A bz tax cuts in the first hundred days; with Paul Ryan in the lead in the House.
-       Japanese is wall to wall election coverage.  People are surprised, almost shocked, by the turn this is taking, Haven't absorbed it; haven't seen analysis yet. Japan doesn't really know what to expect.
-       Markets down in HK, Australia. Nikkei down more that 5%
-       Clinton represented predictable leadership. This has thrown everything into turmoil.
-       What does this mean for the treaty relations? Japan’s security depends on the US. Could radically change Japanese reality. 
-       Seventy years from now, this will be a moment to recover for your children