The John Batchelor Show

Wednesday 4 November 2015

Air Date: 
November 04, 2015

Photo, left: What is now coastal Libya was known under Roman rule as Tripolitania and Pentapolis, divided between the Africa province in the west and Creta et Cyrenaica in the east. In 296 AD, the Emperor Diocletian separated the administration of Crete from Cyrenaica and in the latter formed the new provinces of "Upper Libya" and "Lower Libya", using the term Libya as a political State for the first time in history. 
JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW
Co-hosts: Gordon Chang, Forbes.com. Dr. David M. Livingston, The Space Show.
Hour One
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 1, Block A:  Rick Fisher, senior Fellow at the International Assessment and Strategy Center, in re: Adm Wu and the USS Lassen: If the US continues to carry out these kinds of dangerous act [sailing politely along a global-commons space in a freedom-of-navigation sally] , . . . could be a spark to conflict."  US: "Intl seas and airspace are the dominion of all peoples, not of any specific nation."   Sadly, China has shown it willingness to shed blood to claim islands from other nations.   China escalates, in South China Sea and Yellow Sea. . . . Also, March 2009 where Chinese tried to cut the sonar array off the USS Impeccable in an overt act of war.  US hasn't responded even effectively, so China keeps pushing.  . . . During the Cold War, Soviets tried to [shoulder] into a US ship.  . . . China might try to take over a Filipino or Vietnamese island. Hope they don't try to play chicken with one of our newer aircraft, which cannot lose one engine without crashing.  Chinese white-hulled [not formally in navy] vessels: use them vs Japan. Might crowd in front of an Arleigh-Burke –class destroyer?  Yes – and China is bldg 10,-000-ton destroyer s– enormous.  . .  Recall 1964 Gulf of Tonkin incident: Vietnam deployed high-speed craft against a US ship.   . . .  We need to [inter al.] rearm the Philippines.    Adm Wu and Adm Harry Harris: the two guys in charge of the pointy ends of the sticks. http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/11/02/china-s-dangerous-war-talk-about-the-south-china-sea.html
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 1, Block B: Reggie Littlejohn, founder and president of Women's Rights Without Frontiers, in re: Beijing (China) (AFP) - She was born in Beijing and has lived there all her life. But like millions of others conceived in violation of China's one-child policy, as far as the state is concerned Li Xue does not exist.  Related Stories  China ends one-child policy: state media Q&A on China's one-child policy AFP China abandons one-child policy, allows two children for all: She has no right to schooling, health care or a formal job. Without a birth certificate or identity papers, she is a "black child", an alien in her own country -- unable to join a public library, get legally married or even take a train.  "I was born here, but I don’t have any of the rights of a Chinese person," she said. "Whatever I do, I’m blocked and have difficulties. There is nothing in China that proves whether I even exist or not."  Last week Chinese authorities announced the end of the hugely controversial policy, which restricted most couples to a single offspring. Instead all families will be allowed two children.  Often brutally enforced with abortions and sterilisations, the rules have had complex and enduring repercussions.  Li's parents already had one daughter -- born with the right paperwork -- and were on long-term disability leave from their jobs as factory workers when her mother accidentally fell pregnant. They did not want a second baby, she said, but she was too ill to terminate the foetus.  . . . http://www.womensrightswithoutfrontiers.org/blog/?p=2082 ; http://news.yahoo.com/dark-lives-chinas-black-children-131252169.html
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 1, Block C: Dr. Ashwin R. Vasavada, MSL-Curiosity Project Scientist, in re:  Mars water. . . . Mars lost its magnetic field early in its history, one of whose benefits is deflecting radiation; stripped away the atmosphere over millennia, diminishing ability of water to exist.  Life on Mars?  The odds keep going up.
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 1, Block D:  Pastor William Devlin, REEDEM!, and Infinity Bible Church, Bronx; in re: trip to Israel February 12-20, 2016. Our meeting with Deputy Secretary General of UN last week.  Pastor Bill went to Eastern Kurdistan last Christmastime;  also in Turkish Kurdistan, did volunteer work in a hospital on the Turkish-Syrian (Western Kurdistan) border.  After Erdogan's re-election a few days ago, apparently legitimizing his appalling brutality, which served to cause all the other Kurdish groups to coalesce.  Note also Yazidis, who accuse Barzani (Western Kurdistan) of having failed to move in a normal humanitarian way, obliging hundreds of thousands of Yazidis to live in  ghastly camps.  The terrifying threat of ISIS has generated an nationalistic fervor.   Last winter stayed in Duhoq, then up to Zakho.  Kurds think highly of Americans ask why Obama isn’t supporting Kurds, America's most reliable friend in that region. The intl community looks at Kurdistan as the break-point in that part of the world.  Joe Biden spoke of breaking Iraq into three pieces, one would have been Kurdistan.  –It should, they can hold their own.
Hour Two
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 2, Block A: Walter Lohman, director of The Heritage Foundation’s Asian Studies Center, in re: Unconfirmed reports that there was a bomb on the Russian plane that crashed in the Sinai.  Puzzling note: Japan, PRC, ROK.  " We three leaders have completely restored trading and other ties" after 66 years. Clearly the antagonisms among them have not dwindled, but they are talking, and say they'll continue. ("When I see a peace meeting, I know that war is the topic.")  . . . It's said that if two countries trade more, they won't fight – but in Asia we can see the opposite.  . . .   So much of the economic ties across the region occur irrespective of the govts. "When trade doesn't cross border, armies cross borders." – but the Japanese and Koreans hate ach other; Japanese and Chinese hate each other. What's going on?  The historical antagonisms increase over time!  Each country has a different objective from the others. Enmities haven't changed.  http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-34691596
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 2, Block B:  Elliot Sperling, professor at Indiana University, in re: http://www.newsweek.com/tibetan-exiles-heartened-chinese-economy-389129
 
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 2, Block C: James Holmes, professor of strategy at the Naval War College and a former surface warfare officer, in re: the latest in the South China Sea.
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 2, Block D:  Terry Anderson, PERC Montana, in re: In 2013, the Dallas Safari Club worked with Namibian wildlife officials to auction a hunt of a black rhino, the most endangered of the rhino species. They expected to raise as much as $1 million from the auction with 100 percent of the proceeds going to rhino conservation efforts. Moreover, the rhino to be hunted was a cantankerous old bull, no longer of breeding age, which was harassing and even killing other rhinos. Nonetheless, animal rights groups viciously attacked the Dallas Safari Club even to the point of threatening bodily harm to club leaders and anyone who bid on the hunt. This raises the question: Is hunting good for wildlife conservation? To understand why the answer is unequivocally yes, consider the conservation story of Marty Anderson…   http://www.hoover.org/research/how-hunting-saves-animals
Hour Three
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 3, Block A: Monica Crowley, Fox, & Washington Times Online opinion editor; in re: Intell points at a bomb planted on the Russian aircraft. Rumor, all whispers until American and British intell affirmed. Meanwhile, collapse of US policy in the Middle East. The apparent fact that ISIS has killed Russia in retaliation for its actions in Syria opens a grave new chapter.  In addition to everything else, will give Mr Putin more reason to e=send in more ground troops, more missiles.  Pres Obama's whole narrative as that Islamic violence was ended. Then ISIS takes over. Problem for Mr Obama and Mrs Clinton. Might benefit those Republicans with significant foreign policy experience or projections thereon.  Cruz, Rubio, even Trump.  NYT says that if Cruz does well in Iowa (win, place or show), sliding him well on to North Carolina, Nevada, and perhaps to the nomination.   When Trump showed up unexpectedly, Cruz was agile enough to change strategy, to hang in Trump's draft.  If Trump falters, Cruz will be the first beneficiary. Cruz is playing a long game.
Wepnesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 3, Block B: Monica Crowley, Fox, & Washington Times Online opinion editor; in re: Three of the top four GOP candidates are minorities: Dr Carson, and Mssrs Rubio and Cruz.  http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/04/politics/marco-rubio-charge-card-credit-card/
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 3, Block C: Monica Crowley, Fox, & Washington Times Online opinion editor; in re: http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/jeb-bush-donors-chill-out-n457501
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 3, Block D: Monica Crowley, Fox, & Washington Times Online opinion editor; in re: http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/04/opinions/hewitt-paul-ryan-gop-victory/
 
Hour Four
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 4, Block A:  Tyler Rogoway, Foxtrot Alpha, in re: http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/everything-that-could-have-caused-the-crash-of-russian-1740065524  ;  http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-34728901
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 4, Block B:  John Avlon, Daily Beast, in re: http://politicalwire.com/2015/11/03/rubios-lavish-spending-under-scrutiny-again/
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 4, Block C: Ann Marlowe, Hudson Institute, in re: Bashir, at Zwara, Libya, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/un-appoints-new-libya-envoy-amid-stalled-peace-talks/2015/11/04/a8569882-8321-11e5-8bd2-680fff868306_story.html
Wednesday   4 November   2015  / Hour 4, Block D: Ann Marlowe, Hudson Institute, in re: Bashir, at Zwara, Libya,  on Egyptian President Sisi tells UK: finish job in Libya to stop another Syria. Exclusive: Egypt's President will demand that David Cameron completes his "mission" in Libya to prevent the country being dominated by Islamists  http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/egypt/11973648/Egyptian-President-Sisi-tells-UK-finish-job-in-Libya-to-stop-another-Syria.html